Tuesday, December 1, 2020

WOTS TUE DEC 1 2020

 WOTS TUE DEC 1 2020

Global stocks post best month ever
The Markets:
Asian markets closed up NIK up by 1.34% HSI up by .86% SHANG by 1.77%
The UK markets are currently trading in the  green  from .03% to 2.03% 
Our futures are currently trading in the green the DOW at 29979 up by 1.18%  SNP at 3664 up by 1.12% NDX at 12387 up by .90%

Precious Metals:
Gold is green at 1807 Silver is green at 23.45 Copper is green at 348 Aluminum is green at 2057  Platinum is green at 988
Brent 47 WTi 45

Favorite Currencies Forex Quotes

SymbolBidAskHighLowOpenChangeTime
 USD/IQD  1187.0000  1195.0000 1192.1000 1191.7000 1192.1000  -0.8000 19:44
 USD/VND  23129.0000  23131.0000 23128.8800 23125.7100 23125.7100  3.5300 03:19
 USD/CNY  6.5714  6.5734 6.5855 6.5609 6.5781  -0.0069 04:30
 USD/KWD  0.3045  0.3055 0.3054 0.3046 0.3054  -0.0008 05:13
 GBP/USD  1.3341  1.3342 1.3406 1.3321 1.3322  0.0019 05:17
 USD/IRR  42000.0000  42210.0000 42097.4000 42097.4000 42097.4000  0.0000 16:00
 USD/IDR  14174.0000  14217.0000 14197.0000 14016.0000 14107.0000  -21.0000 05:16

Things in the News:


Animals return to Hanauma Bay during lockdown...

Hawaii seeks to be seen as a remote workplace with a view...

Iraqi Articles:


Oil falls as OPEC + delays talks and fears oversupply

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Oil prices fell, on Tuesday, as concerns about an increase in supply returned to the fore after major producers postponed talks on production and at a time when the Corona virus pandemic continues to undermine demand for fuel.

Brent crude fell 38 cents, or 0.79%, to $ 47.50 a barrel by 06:50 GMT, after falling more than 1% on Monday. US West Texas Intermediate crude fell 34 cents, or 0.45%, to $ 45.02 a barrel, after dropping 0.4% in the previous session.

The two benchmarks rose nearly 27% after developments of a Covid-19 vaccine raised hopes for an economic recovery that could boost fuel demand.

OPEC + postponed talks on production policy for next year to Thursday, according to what some OPEC sources announced, as there is still a disagreement among the major producers over the amount of oil that they must pump in light of weak demand.

The group, which includes the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries "OPEC", Russia and other allies, was due to hold its meeting on Tuesday after discussions of ministers from major countries on Sunday failed to reach a consensus.

Sources said that the UAE complicated the picture by indicating that it would want to support an extension of the supply cut only if the group members' compliance with the reduction pledges improved.

The group is set to ease the current production cuts of two million barrels per day from January, but as demand continues to come under pressure from the pandemic, sources say OPEC + is considering extending the existing cuts to the first months of next year, a position supported by Saudi Arabia, the largest producer in OPEC.

Warning against "floating currency" to raise the price of the dollar against the Iraqi dinar

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The economist Rasim al-Akidi said that the floating of the dollar, or what is known as the liberalization of the exchange rate, takes place through two methods, the first is pure or free, and the second is the controlled or controlled method, and in both cases the price of the dollar will rise against the Iraqi dinar and will lead to the withdrawal of a large amount of the monetary mass in Markets.

Al-Akidi added that the withdrawal of a large cash block corresponds to 4 drawbacks at the same time, and the affected population will be large segments, including the increase in prices in the markets in addition to the factories ’reluctance to produce because the value of profits will decrease in front of the costs in addition to the absorption of per capita income and the increase in rental prices. Other damages.

According to Al-Aqidi, Iraq needs an economic rescue plan that starts from maximizing non-oil revenues, which are many, and keeping the influential parties away from them, because a large part of the financial resources does not go to the state treasury, and this is part of the causes of the current financial crisis in the country.

Economists ’opinions differed on the“ floating of the dinar ”in front of the dollar exchange to face the deficit crisis in the financial budget.

One party believes that the procedure will serve the Iraqi economy in the medium term by activating the industrial and agricultural sectors, but another party believes that it will eliminate the poor and middle classes.

The Central Bank of Iraq rejected the idea of "floating the dinar" during the next stage to increase government revenues and be able to pay employees' salaries during the coming days, citing its fear of increasing prices and harming the vulnerable classes.

The estimated budget for 2020 suffers from a large deficit of 50 trillion dinars. Observers expected the deficit to rise with the oil market losing about 50% of its prices.

Muhammad's appearance 'turns' the Iraqi economy: control 'chaos' and adopt the white paper 'a constitution'

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Baghdad - People  

The financial advisor to the Prime Minister, Mazhar Muhammad Salih, confirmed that the White Paper is an economic constitution for the country, to build the country's future economic management in accordance with market efficiency.  

Saleh said, in press statements, followed by "People" (1 December 2020) that "Iraq needs a new law to be adopted by Parliament for economic reform, as the financial crisis is fast and deep, due to the complete dependence on oil revenues in building the spending and spending structure in the country's budgets." It has expanded cumulatively for many decades. "  

He added, "We rule out structural transformations within a short period of time by finding alternative and rapid sources of financing in a monolithic economy with weak diversification, unless borrowing is resorted to, to bridge the gap in sustainable expenditures."  

  

Economic Constitution  

Regarding the white paper, Saleh said: "I believe that the country needs a basic law that legislates economic reform, that is to be adopted by the legislative body. I mean here the white paper, considering it as an economic constitution for the country, to build the future of the country's economic management in accordance with market efficiency."  

He continued, "The efficiency of governmental economic organizations is based on consistent public policies with well-known goals whose results can be measured in the calculation of the people's well-being. Based on the foregoing, the white paper is inevitable in need of legal framing in order to take its legitimate applications without hesitation or negligence, and become the basis for any program." Governmental, which will be adopted successively by future governments to continue to work on development and reform according to the long view. "  

  

Movements of the Financial Commission  

Turning to Saleh, the Finance Committee’s recent moves and proposals to overcome the financial crisis, saying: “I think it is necessary for the Finance Committee to discuss its proposals for financial and economic reform with the government, especially the Ministry of Finance, in order to set the appropriate times and evaluate the possibilities available for the implementation of the value-added tax, for example. For example, because it needs a capable cadre in applying value-added tax procedures and passing on tens of thousands of taxable transactions, including correct and accurate standing on the inputs, outputs and results of daily taxable economic activity, which requires material and human resources and a large organizational and digital structure in the tax system Knowing that 65 to 70% of the market activity is in the gray zone that evaded dealing with or dealing with the tax system.  

  

Borrowing and its consequences  

Regarding the government's resort to the borrowing project between Saleh, that "the financial crisis is fast and deep, due to the complete dependence on oil rents in building the structure of spending and spending in Iraq's budgets, and with a cumulative expansion for many decades, so it is difficult to make structural transformations by finding alternative and rapid sources of financing in the economy." Unilateral weak diversification unless borrowing is resorted to to fill the gap in sustainable expenditures. This is done by expanding public debt in the hope that budget resources will gradually improve, in addition to that restructuring and reducing expenditures is not an easy matter, as it is linked to obligations and legislations developed in the past, and it is difficult to amend them immediately as they may be It will bear unwanted social and economic impacts. "  

Saleh talked about the size of employee salaries and the possibility of reducing spending, saying: "There are no immediate and essential solutions, but there is importance to control the expansion of this section, and to control its lack of escapism, and its expansion," noting that "there is no unified political will in choosing a unified roadmap." Economic reform. "  

  

Industry, agriculture and the last screw!  

Said Saleh: " The liberal adoption of the economy and opening up to the global economy over the last two decades and controls and policies of economic development and control of a weak internal economy is fragile, making the world 's economies are working high and competitive with great efficiency, which is hammering the final nail on the stage of another craftsman Iraqi actuation in the timber industry or shoes Or bags, and the last wheel takes off from the wheels of national industry after it deliberately flooded the national market or in ignorance with the cheap goods of Asian countries financed by the income of oil rent; therefore unemployment is still high in the country for two decades, and the manufacturing industry and agriculture still constitute only 7% of the output The gross domestic product of Iraq, which includes 37% of the workforce, and society, its bulk, subsists on government service jobs with low productivity or on government subsidies and subsidies paid from the budget of the oil resource revenues.  

  

The price of the dollar and the Iraqi economy  

Saleh explained that "the stability of the Iraqi dinar exchange represents the stability of the external value of the national currency, and then the stability of the standard of living, and defending the stability of the exchange rate is one of the most important duties of the Central Bank of Iraq in achieving its goals in building stability as a climate for economic growth, and despite the current account deficit for the balance Payments to the gross domestic product currently, which is about minus 8% according to initial estimates. However, the central bank defends the exchange rate through its foreign reserves, and that this defense depends on the sufficiency of foreign reserves that have not reached their red lines until now.  

Saleh indicated that "regional trade has become entrenched at the level of the Arab and regional neighborhood countries since the imposition of the blockade, and the free zones of the neighboring countries in terms of durable goods, production supplies and consumer goods, especially food, the source of which does not exceed the neighboring countries, in general the import trade of the neighboring countries of Iraq dominates 60- 70% of total private sector imports, which means that regional commercial attraction has an upper hand. "  

Parliamentary finance is targeting the currency auction: it does not exist in all countries of the world!

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The Finance Committee in the House of Representatives confirmed, on Tuesday, the need to reconsider the currency auction, while calling for it to be transferred to the Ministry of Finance.  

Committee member Ahmed Al-Saffar said in a statement to the official agency, followed by "Nass", (1 December 2020), that "the issue of the currency window of the central bank does not exist in all countries of the world except for Iraq," adding that "standards for transparency in work for the window are absent, and not There is a daily bulletin issued for auction operations, and we do not know the dollar amounts sold. "  

He continued, "We stress the need to reconsider this window and transfer the matter to the Ministry of Finance, because there is confusion and overlap between the work of the central bank and the revenues generated from oil revenues."  

Al-Saffar pointed out that "earlier it was proposed to open a customs tax office inside the bank and to complete the tax collection directly from the beneficiaries from the currency window, as the sums were paid against proof of actual imports, as the tax was transferred directly, so the government would have achieved good amounts of revenues."

CBI Update:  Just  a note:
They have been having auctions and the ISX has been trading regularly; the sites just don't update in time to put the information in this report, unless it is 
here.   
 
Click on the link above for the latest update.

The CBI for rate is 1190.
 The currency auction total sales amount $ .

  including   $ 19,350,000. CASH 

ISX Update:   

www.isx-iq.net/

Shares Traded: not updated for today
Value Traded: not updated for today 


12-1-2020   Newshound Guru Jeff  ...you see the facts as I bring them to you.  They paint a picture.  They're walking you to the finish line.  One of the main things I told you was after the borrowing law Iraq would be ready to change the rate.  After they finished the borrowing law...the very next level of things they talk about - increasing the change rate.  That's been one of their new emphasis since last Sunday of last weekend, a week ago.  And reforming the banking sector...that's great news we're right on the edge of this...
11-30-2020   Newshound Guru  Breitling  When they start adding value to the currency it's going to be the same with Trump or Biden.  But what's going to determine its final outcome is a different path.  For Trump it's a long term deal.  For Biden it's probably going to be a short-term deal.  And that's how you have to look at it. 

11-30-2020   Intel Guru MarkZ   [via PDK]    I hear we may need  a shutdown…I think we are inching closer to that over the next week. I am hearing after the 10th or so…I think during this shut down…this is when they will bring us in for our exchanges…  [is this info from DC, just Chatter, rumors or intel?]   Based on where it came from I would call it good intel at this point. Pretty solid.

11-30-2020   Newshound Guru Jeff    History is repeating itself right now.  Iraq is walking in Kuwait's footsteps.  You are going to see a lot of things repeating itself as Iraq moves forward...Kuwait changed their rate on Sunday March 24th 1991...

11-30-2020   Newshound Guru  Breitling  ...Here's the bigger picture...remember Iraq under George Bush Jr. said they wanted to create a new currency [Iraqi dinar] that would be used as a foreign currency reserve in other countries...they'll want to get it to the $3.25 range and they'll want to get it so that it's going to be a foreign reserve currency for other countries...that was their original plan...What's the prediction? ...My prediction is they are going to revalue.  My prediction is under Biden it's one plan and under Trump it's a different plan...

11-30-2020  Intel Guru MarkZ   [via PDK]   My contacts in Iraq are still exceptionally excited…I spoke to one who is a Sargent Major or an E9, and he brought up how close this is to finally happen…he talked about the education process ongoing with the Iraqi people...he is a dinar holder as many military leaders are…over the last 2 weeks in Iraq, they have the LD’s ready to go and have been actually training branch tellers and bank employees...it has reached a whole new level of training in Iraq...There has been a lot of movement over there.

11-30-2020   Intel Guru RayRen98   PM Kadhimi gave the order today to send the 2021 budget to the Council of Ministers for their immediate review.  The Kurds are bringing a delegation to Baghdad tomorrow to resolve issues relating to the 2021 budget, based on it being presented to the Council of Ministers this week.

11-30-2020   Newshound Guru Jeff   This is an amazing article  "Representative Finance:  The proposal for a "white paper" to replace the currency requires a lot of money"  ...now they're talking about reviewing the exchange rate and replacing the currency...guys it doesn't get any better than that.  They're blatantly telling you that they are ready to improve their exchange rate and delete the zeros from the currency...but again it takes them 3 to 4 months to do it.   [Post 2 of 2]

11-30-2020   Newshound Guru Jeff   They are pouring articles out left and right talking about deleting the zeros, new revenues, taxation, improving the exchange rate of the Iraq dinar.  They're now telling you there's nothing left for them to change the rate...you're in the best position right now.  Ever.  They're blatantly telling you they have nothing left and they are ready to change the rate.  But you got to remember when they put a new emphasis on something it takes them 3 to 4 months to do it... [Post 1 of 2....stay tuned]

11-30-2020   Newshound Guru  Breitling   ...People keep forgetting - the currency [Iraqi dinar] is undervalued.  They devalued the currency.  That's not a market rate.  They kept printing the currency.  They even said that they were going to do that.  And they did that.  So when they say they want to add value to the currency, I believe them because they followed through on everything... they are going to add value to their currency.


Catnip's Corner:
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ARTICLE 1-A (from PM Kadhimi's website; posted only on Arabic side, not on English side)

Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kazemi receives the British Minister of State for Middle East Affairs and the Minister of the British Armed Forces

The Prime Minister, Mr. Mustafa Al-Kazemi, today, Monday, received the British Minister of State for the Middle East and Africa, Mr. James Cleverley, and the Minister of the British Armed Forces, Mr. James Hebe.

During the meeting, they discussed bilateral relations between the two countries, in the political, economic and military fields, and the importance of continuing joint cooperation in the field of the war against terrorism and the pursuit of ISIS terrorist organization, as well as the regional situation and work together for calm and dialogue, with the aim of stabilizing the region.

They also discussed what was agreed upon during the Prime Minister’s visit to the United Kingdom, last month, and ways to turn it into practical steps that would serve the interests of both countries.

During the meeting, ways to support building the capabilities of the Iraqi forces were discussed, in the field of training, equipment and intelligence support, provided that the support provided was in accordance with Iraqi priorities.

During the meeting, Mr. Al-Kazemi affirmed that Iraq is keen to build strategic relations with the United Kingdom, in the political and economic fields, referring to the historical relations between the two countries, which would contribute to strengthening cooperation and supporting the Iraqi economy, and supporting the economic reforms included in the White Paper, as well as helping Iraq to reach free and transparent elections that meet the aspirations of the Iraqi people.

For its part, the British delegation affirmed Britain's support for Iraq, and for the path taken by the Iraqi government in the field of economic and security reform, and the steps taken towards holding early elections.

Media Office of the Prime Minister
30-Nov-2020

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ARTICLE 1-B (from PM Kadhimi's website; posted only on Arabic side, not on English side)

Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kazemi visits the headquarters of the Independent High Electoral Commission

Today, Monday, the Prime Minister, Mr. Mustafa Al-Kazemi, visited the headquarters of the Independent High Electoral Commission.

He briefed his Excellency on the progress of the preparations taken by the Commission, to secure the holding of the parliamentary elections on the scheduled date, on the sixth of next June.

The Prime Minister also followed the progress of the Commission’s efforts to seek to overcome all obstacles that may face the electoral process, and directed the relevant government agencies to overcome these obstacles as much as the matter related to them.

His Excellency also stressed the importance of the House of Representatives approving the election financing law, in order to allow sufficient time for the commission to complete the technical and executive aspects and make it successful.

Mr. Al-Kazemi stressed the importance of the procedures accompanying the electoral process conforming to the law, to ensure its success and to preserve its integrity, and for the upcoming electoral process to be a true expression of the will of the Iraqi people and their free choices.

Media Office of the Prime Minister
30-Nov-2020

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ARTICLE 1-C (from PM Kadhimi's website; posted only on Arabic side, not on English side)

Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kazemi receives a phone call from his Swedish counterpart

Today, Monday, the Prime Minister, Mr. Mustafa Al-Kazemi, received a phone call from the Prime Minister of Sweden, Mr. Stefan Löfven.

During the call, they discussed bilateral relations between the two countries, discussed the regional situation, and strengthened means of joint cooperation in the field of combating terrorism and combating ISIS terrorist organization, as well as cooperation in the field of investment and encouraging Swedish companies to work in Iraq.

Media Office of the Prime Minister
30-November-2020

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ARTICLE 2 (from Government of Iraq twitter account)

More than 10 million students resumed their education in Iraq with the start of the new academic year. Schools will follow a mixed module of in-school and online education. We wish our students and teachers a safe and happy new academic year.
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ARTICLE 3

Parliamentary Finance: Waste and corruption in non-oil revenues, the cause of the financial crisis

11/30/2020 19:06 •
[Baghdad-Where]
The Parliamentary Finance Committee confirmed, on Monday, that the problem of Iraq and the financial crisis lies in the financial waste of non-oil revenues, which are estimated at billions of dollars, calling on the Ministry of Finance to take serious action and stop corruption and waste.
Majid Al-Waeli, a member of the Finance Committee, said, "The oil revenues are clear and the money is based on the quantities of exported oil.

He added that "the largest files of corruption and waste of Iraqi public money in departments that generate money on Iraq other than oil revenues," noting that "including the tax and collection and a number of companies, ministries of transport and industry and others."

He explained that "stopping financial corruption and waste in these departments provides the state with ample money that will solve the financial crisis," noting that "the matter is borne by the finances and it must act soon to stop the waste through the first step by activating electronic governance instead of the traditional routine procedures through which money is wasted."
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ARTICLE 4

Close solutions .. The Minister of Planning talks about the share of the Kurdistan region in the budget

11/30/2020 15:51 

[Baghdad-Where]
Minister of Planning Khaled Battal Al-Najm confirmed, on Monday, that the draft budget law for 2021 is in the process of preparation and will be discussed in the Council of Ministers next week, indicating that there are close solutions regarding the share of the Kurdistan region.
Al-Najm said in a television interview, "The budget is currently under preparation and will be presented next week to the Council of Ministers to be discussed and sent to Parliament."
And on the budget of the Kurdistan region, Battal explained that "the budget is prepared by the federal government and there was a session yesterday in the Council of Ministers in the presence of some of the ministers' colleagues, where we discussed the issue of the region and there will be solutions soon."
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ARTICLE 5

NATO determines the objectives of its presence in Iraq

11/30/2020 17:21 • 
[Baghdad-Where]
Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kazemi issued, on Monday, several directives regarding the electoral process, directing a request to Parliament regarding the election law.
The Secretary-General of NATO, Jens Stoltenberg, announced the strengthening of the alliance's presence in Iraq and the continuation of training Iraqi forces in the context of the war on "terrorism."
"We are strengthening our presence in Iraq, and we continue to support Iraqi local forces," Stoltenberg said, according to the Kurdish network Rudaw.
He added, "We are continuing to train Iraqi forces," indicating, "We aim to eliminate terrorism in Iraq."
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