Monday, May 11, 2026

IRAQ Opens Market to Foreign Investment Firms

The Securities Commission grants the first license to a foreign brokerage firm to operate in Iraq.

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The Securities Commission grants the first license to a foreign brokerage firm to operate in Iraq.

On Sunday, the Securities Authority announced that it had granted official approval to a foreign brokerage firm to operate in the securities markets, making it the first company to receive this approval in accordance with the modern regulatory procedures adopted by the Authority.

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The commission confirmed in a statement that this step comes within its ongoing efforts to regulate and develop the work environment in the Iraqi financial market and enhance transparency and efficiency in line with best international practices, and in a way that contributes to supporting investment, stimulating trading activity and attracting global expertise to the market.

She explained that the approval was granted after the company completed all the technical and regulatory requirements, ensuring the integrity of the procedures and protecting the rights of investors, as well as raising the level of institutional performance of brokerage companies operating in the market.

The statement affirmed that this approval is an important indicator of the Authority’s direction towards opening new horizons for brokerage companies, especially foreign ones, and encouraging the entry of new companies that contribute to the development of the Iraqi capital market and enhance investor confidence in it, which represents one of the Authority’s main objectives in regulating, protecting and developing the market.



The reason for postponing the vote on the cabinet today has been revealed.

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Former MP Abdul Hadi Al-Saadawi revealed on Sunday the reasons for postponing the vote on the cabinet in the House of Representatives, attributing this to the failure of some political blocs to decide on their candidates for ministerial portfolios, which led to the inability to vote on the government formation today.

Al-Saadawi told Al-Furat News Agency, “It was likely that the Al-Zidi government would be given confidence today in the House of Representatives after all preparations were completed; however, the vote was postponed as a result of some political blocs not deciding on their candidates for the ministries.”

He added that "it is too early to announce the completion of the cabinet due to the existence of disagreements between the political blocs," indicating that "the absence of a fully empowered government is having a negative impact on the country."

Al-Saadawi pointed out that "there are major obstacles facing the prime minister-designate, even from within the coordination framework and the rest of the national space, which requires more consultation and effort to convince the blocs to proceed with presenting the cabinet and voting on it within the House of Representatives."

He pointed out that "Al-Zidi has a strong incentive to complete his cabinet through consultation and understanding with various political forces."

Regarding the challenges facing the new government, Al-Saadawi explained that "the first of these is the financial file," expecting "its move towards raising the exchange rate of the dinar to reduce the deficit in the 2026 budget," considering "this a difficult decision in addition to the security challenges in the region, especially the American-Iranian war and the repercussions it imposes on the country."

He concluded by saying that "the next government needs a clear economic and security vision to keep Iraq away from the region's conflicts."


Source: Qaani arrives in Baghdad

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An informed source reported on Saturday night that the commander of the Quds Force, Ismail Qaani, had arrived in the capital, Baghdad.

The source told Roj News that “Qaani arrived in the capital, Baghdad, on an unannounced visit.”

He added that “Qaani will hold several meetings with Iraqi officials.”

Qaani had previously visited Baghdad recently, during talks on forming the Iraqi government, in what was his first visit after an absence of nearly a year.

The “framework” was surprised by the extent of American support… Did it get involved in nominating Al-Zaidi?

The general rushes to Baghdad to salvage the "quiet infiltration".

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The "quiet arrangements" for forming the new government have, over the past two weeks, devolved into something resembling "open chaos," according to a well-informed Shiite political source. This sudden shift brought the Iranian general back to Baghdad and disrupted understandings that, until recently, seemed almost finalized.
This confusion coincides with the stalled attempts at rapprochement between Tehran and Washington and the rising likelihood of a return to brinkmanship. Prime Minister-designate Ali al-Zaidi was preparing to present his cabinet this week, before these new developments pushed for a possible postponement until the end of May or the beginning of June.
Al-Zaidi now finds himself in a highly complex situation, caught between American pressure to remove the factions from key state institutions and escalating Iranian pressure exerted through armed groups that reject any talk of dismantling their influence or disarming.
Why did the general return?
In less than a month, Ismail Qaani, commander of the Quds Force in the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, returned to Baghdad, amid indications that the previously "quiet" understandings within the "coordination framework" have faltered.
A Shiite politician close to the negotiations says, "Things have descended into chaos," attributing this to "the tug-of-war between Tehran and Washington."
Speaking to Al-Mada on condition of anonymity, he adds, "There have been inexplicable changes in the Iranian position regarding the government formation arrangements, and at a surprising time."
He continues, "Iran was apparently satisfied with the formula upon which the groundwork for the new government was laid, but now it has returned to objecting, without any clear reasons."
On Saturday evening, information leaked about Qani's arrival in Baghdad, just hours after Muqtada al-Sadr's speech, in which he again warned against "the perfumer's concoction," a phrase he uses to refer to Iranian influence, in what appeared to be an early hint at the visit before it was reported in the media.
Qani's visits to Iraq are usually kept secret for security reasons, especially after the recent war. News of the visit typically circulates after he has left the country, and announcements are often made at the weekend.
The Shiite politician believes that Washington exerted "unusual pressure" regarding the participation of Iran's allies in the new government, causing confusion within the "coordination framework," especially after the extent of support al-Zaidi enjoys from the United States and other countries became clear.
According to what is being circulated behind the scenes, the American conditions have expanded to include barring figures affiliated with the factions from holding any public office, even at the director-general level, which factional circles consider "political purging." The
Iranian move comes at a time when Tehran and Washington appear closer to confrontation than to compromise, while Baghdad, according to analysts, is considered the last center of significant Iranian influence after the setbacks suffered by the so-called "axis of resistance" in Lebanon and Syria.
Despite the political and military blows Tehran has suffered in recent months, it has not abandoned its allies in Iraq and has repeatedly sent Qassem Soleimani back to maintain the balance of power.
Last month, Iran was supposed to have succeeded in brokering a "silent end" to the government formation crisis, which had lasted nearly six months between Mohammed al-Sudani and Nouri al-Maliki.
Following Qani's first visit in mid-April, the "Coordination Framework," for the first time since the 2025 elections, managed to present a consensus candidate for prime minister, a move that Washington seemed to embrace quickly.
Former politician and MP Mithal al-Alusi told Al-Mada that the administration of US President Donald Trump had agreed to support al-Zaidi, although the identity of the party that put forward his candidacy remained unclear.
Al-Alusi linked al-Zaidi's rising popularity to what he described as "al-Sudani's mistake" in the ambush of American diplomats in early April, during the transfer of a journalist held hostage by armed groups.
According to available information, Washington considered several alternative names to al-Sudani but found insufficient indications that these figures were capable of containing Iran's influence or controlling the armed factions.
At the height of that crisis, Tehran had pushed through what became known as the "quiet infiltration" plan, aimed at repositioning the factions within state institutions through unknown figures, while superficially disarming them.
"Trump is lying!"
Walid al-Hayali, a leader in the Badr Organization headed by Hadi al-Amiri, says, "Talk of Trump supporting Ali al-Zaidi is untrue, and there is no real evidence of it."
He adds, in a statement to Al-Mada, "Trump views Iraq through the lens of its wealth and economy, and perhaps he saw in al-Zaidi a suitable financial figure, so he tried to ride the wave and suggest that he was behind his nomination, but this is inaccurate."
However, he points to the existence of "a team working behind the scenes" that helped al-Zaidi build relationships with Washington and other countries.

Trump had said last Saturday evening that what had happened in Iraq recently was "satisfactory," emphasizing that he was "happy with the selection of the prime minister-designate."

Nevertheless, there are still no clear indications that al-Zaidi intends to confront the armed factions, as he did not meet with some of these groups during the recent rounds of negotiations, even though they were among the forces that supported his nomination within the "coordination framework." Meanwhile
, leaks are increasing regarding the existence of a tripartite committee concerned with the disarmament of the factions, comprising Mohammed al-Sudani, Hadi al-Amiri, and al-Zaidi.

Muqtada al-Sadr further complicated the situation by calling for the transformation of the armed factions into "soldiers of religious rites" – in his statement last Friday – under the authority of the Hajj and Umrah Commission, or their conversion into humanitarian relief organizations. He declared that anyone who rejects this would be "outlaws."

Sources close to al-Sadr believe the proposal represents a "lifeline" for the factions and the incoming government, offering a way to avoid assassinations or international sanctions, in exchange for disbanding the armed wings of the Sadr movement.
Al-Sadr's statement came after a six-month silence that coincided with the government formation crisis, and he once again used the expression "a concoction of the perfumer," referring to the complexity of the political landscape and the potential for an explosion.
Meanwhile, factions like Kataib Hezbollah and Harakat al-Nujaba are clinging to their weapons, considering relinquishing them a "red line," according to statements by the latter's leader, Akram al-Kaabi.
The factions' silence regarding Trump's statements and his call to al-Zaidi, as well as his support for forming a "terrorism-free" government—a move understood by the US as targeting armed groups—was striking. This was seen as part of a strategy of "quiet infiltration."
What will become of the government?
Even before news leaked of Qani's return to Baghdad, the chances of passing the cabinet this week seemed high, but recent developments have overturned those expectations.
Political analyst Wael al-Rikabi, close to Maliki's team, says that "the pressure from the parties to divide the ministries, along with American pressure to exclude the factions, may lead to postponing the vote on the government until after the Eid holiday," meaning until the end of May or the beginning of June.
Behind the scenes of the negotiations, a fierce Shiite struggle is unfolding over the Ministry of Oil, which, according to the norms within the

"coordination framework," is supposed to go to the largest bloc, i.e., to Sudani's share.

However, according to political sources, Nouri al-Maliki is still clinging to the ministry and refusing to relinquish it at the last minute, despite the blow dealt to his candidate for the position, Ali Ma'araj al-Bahadli, the deputy oil minister.
Last Thursday, the US Treasury Department imposed sanctions on al-Bahadli, along with two Iraqi factions, on charges of supporting Iran.

Last year, Al-Mada newspaper, citing informed sources, revealed that parties close to Iran had obstructed agreements to resume oil exports through the Turkish port of Ceyhan, which later led to a severe crisis after the closure of the Strait of Hormuz during the 40-day war.

Washington also imposed sanctions on leaders of the Kataib Sayyid al-Shuhada and Asa'ib Ahl al-Haq militias on charges related to oil smuggling and the financing and arming of groups linked to the Iranian Revolutionary Guard and Hezbollah.
Among those sanctioned was Laith al-Khazali, brother of Asa'ib Ahl al-Haq leader Qais al-Khazali, whose name had been circulating as a

potential candidate for the Ministry of Interior.

Walid al-Hayali believes that al-Zaydi must open the corruption files of the past three years, address the oil export crises, and prevent a repeat of the Hormuz crisis.
He asserts that the "coordination framework" was not involved in al-Zaydi's selection, just as it "was not involved previously in Mustafa al-Kadhimi's," adding that the framework "later regretted al-Kadhimi's removal from power."
Al-Hayali holds the Sudanese responsible for stirring up several political crises, especially after he began forming a large political alliance that participated in the elections in violation of the conditions of the Shiite alliance.


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The cabinet is nearing completion, and parliament is preparing for a vote this week.

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Members of the House of Representatives confirmed on Sunday that the new cabinet is almost complete, while they indicated that discussions are continuing regarding some sovereign ministries in preparation for holding a voting session during this week.


Members of the House of Representatives said in a press statement followed by Al-Furat News that approximately 80 percent of the government formation has been completed, with a trend towards passing 50 percent plus one of the ministries, with the remaining ministerial portfolios to be completed at a later time.

They added that discussions are still ongoing regarding a number of sovereign ministries, most notably the Interior, Oil and Foreign Affairs ministries, in addition to dialogues related to restructuring some portfolios and creating a state ministry.

They indicated that the vote on the new government is expected to take place this week, without specifying an official date yet.

They indicated that there are parliamentary observations that will be raised during the discussion of the government program before proceeding with the voting process.

"Tehran is resilient, and regime change is a miscalculation."





Trump publishes first interview with an Iraqi politician: “American companies are building Iran.”



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US President Donald Trump reposted on Truth Social an interview with Qubad Talabani, Deputy Prime Minister of the Kurdistan Region, with Breitbart News on Monday (May 11, 2026), in which he highlighted Kurdistan’s vision for the post-war phase between Washington and Tehran, which is based on turning the conflict into a “major economic deal” between the two sides, and a warning against betting on the overthrow of the Iranian regime, in addition to confirming the region’s readiness to play a role in reducing escalation, and rejecting the use of the Kurds of Iran as a tool for regime change in Tehran.

The quote that Trump liked was a phrase in Talabani’s speech where he said, “Trump is a master of deals, and he can make a great deal to end the war with Iran and create a global economic boom.” Trump copied it as text attached to the link to the interview.

But what Talabani said went far beyond the quote Trump chose, as he criticized the ideas of regime change. In the interview he gave to Breitbart News, Talabani called for an American-Iranian agreement that goes beyond security and nuclear issues towards an economic partnership that includes energy, trade and lifting sanctions, considering that the entry of American companies into the Iranian market could create a “global economic boom” and reopen the Strait of Hormuz to international navigation.

Talabani also offered an analysis of the nature of the Iranian regime, stressing that Iran is a “state of institutions” and not tied to one person, and that the war strengthened the unity of the Iranian interior and the sense of national pride, warning that any attempt to use the Kurds in Iran as a means to overthrow the regime would have led to a “massacre,” noting that the Trump administration realized early on that the option of regime change was not the right path.

“Breitbart News” is a popular American website for news, opinions and analysis, founded by American political commentator Andrew Breitbart in 2007.
Talabani's most notable statement

Qubad Talabani said in an interview with Breitbart News that “US President Donald Trump is capable of concluding a huge deal with Iran that would create a global economic boom and benefit both the United States and Iran in the aftermath of the war between the two countries. The agreement should be between the United States and Iran, and no third party should be allowed to spoil this agreement.”

He added: “I think that President Trump, if left to his own devices and truly sticking to the ‘America First’ agenda, can reach a good agreement with Iran, which is also a beneficial agreement for Iran.”

Talabani stressed that he encourages Trump to conclude a “stunning deal” with Iran, which includes key economic aspects along with ending Iran’s nuclear ambitions.

He said: “I think President Trump is a master dealmaker, and he understands that any agreement needs to be accepted by both parties in order to last. If an agreement is imposed by one party on the other, it may be reached, but it will not last. Therefore, what we need now is an agreement between the United States and Iran.”

Talabani gave the lengthy interview to Breitbart News in Delphi, on the sidelines of the Delphi Economic Forum in late April, during the early days of the ceasefire that was extended several times between the United States and Iran, when the outlines of a possible agreement began to take shape.

He said: “First, we need peace in the region and in Kurdistan. We encourage and support the agreement, and we have made it clear to all parties that we are ready to help in any way possible, whether through back channels or by exploiting Kurdistan’s strategic location to support de-escalation. We need this de-escalation.”

He added that “the impact of the war on Iraq and Kurdistan was significant, especially economically,” and that it also affected the rest of the world, noting that the region welcomes the ceasefire and its extension.

He continued: “As they say, ending a war takes more courage than starting one, and we hope that President Trump will do what is necessary to reach an agreement that brings peace to the region, and peace between the United States and Iran, which will have tremendous positive repercussions for the world.”

He added, “I hope that Iran and the United States will reach an agreement, and I also hope that other parties will not make efforts to derail this agreement.”
The likely timeline for ending the war

Talabani said: “I wish I could tell you, but I really don’t know, and nobody knows. I think the only person who might know is President Trump, and if he is left to his own devices and no other countries try to dissuade him from the agreement, then the chances of reaching it quickly will be greater.”

Regarding the Strait of Hormuz, Talabani said that opening it first requires concrete agreements between the United States and Iran: “I believe that there must be concrete agreements between the United States and Iran before the strait is opened. If it could be opened militarily, it would have already happened. There is an understanding that the strait can only be opened through an agreement.”

He noted that the Iranians are “skilled negotiators” and will not easily give up this important card without a clear quid pro quo.

Talabani said the Kurds agree with Trump's assessment of the failure of previous US policies in Iraq, explaining that after the recent war, Washington should engage economically with Iran and bring in US energy companies to help develop Iran's untapped oil and gas reserves due to international sanctions.

He added: “If we look beyond the security dimension between America and Iran, there is a huge economic world that can be built. Most of the discussions have been about the nuclear file and ballistic missiles, but I have not heard a discussion about the economic benefits of an agreement between Iran and the United States.”

He continued: “This could be a mutually beneficial agreement, significantly boosting Iran’s economy and giving American interests access to a huge new market that has been stifled for the past forty years. The opportunities are enormous.”

Talabani asserted that the idea of Iran possessing a nuclear weapon “is now over thanks to Trump,” but stressed that the success of any agreement requires expanding the scope of negotiations to include the economy, energy, oil, and minerals.

He said: “If we limit ourselves to the nuclear and ballistic missile files, there will not be much room for an agreement. But if we broaden our horizons to look at the other benefits for both sides and for the global economy, there are many factors that could make this agreement excellent.”

He noted that Trump, in turn, spoke about the possibility of American energy companies entering Iran as part of a comprehensive agreement, as he had done previously in other countries such as Venezuela and Greece.
China's role

Talabani said regarding China's role: "China is the largest importer of Iranian oil, but you will not find an international party that does not want to open the Strait. Everyone wants it, and that is why everyone must use their influence to push the parties towards an agreement."

He added that any final agreement must include the economy, infrastructure, lifting sanctions, increasing trade, and Iran's return as a globally welcomed player.

He also said the agreement could include the development of rare earth minerals and elements, but warned against underestimating Iran’s current level of unity.

He added: “I think both sides need to walk away from the agreement feeling victorious. Trump achieved his goals from the war, and at the same time Iran proved to be more resilient than many expected.”

He pointed out that there is “exaggeration” in the talk about the division between Iranian diplomats and the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, saying: “Iran today is very united as a state and as a people. The damage that has been done to it has created a sense of national pride.”

Talabani stressed that Iran is not like Syria or Iraq under Saddam Hussein, where the fall of the ruler meant the fall of the state.

He said: “Iran is a state of institutions, with a military, civilian, paramilitary and religious institution, each with its own structure. Those who thought that overthrowing the leadership would lead to the collapse of the regime made a mistake in their calculations.”
The impact of the war on Iraq

Talabani stressed: “Iraq depends primarily on oil, as does the Kurdistan Region. When the strait is closed, no oil is sold, which means no revenue.”

He added that a large part of the region’s revenues also depend on trade between Iraq and Iran, and therefore the cessation of trade has caused significant economic damage. He stressed that the regional government has been clear with all parties that the Kurds of Iran should not be used as a tool for regime change in Tehran.

He said: “We did not think this was a good policy, and I am very glad that President Trump also came to this conclusion. If the Kurds had been used as the spearhead in this matter, they would have been massacred.”

He concluded by saying that the United States realized early on that Iran’s Kurds “were not the right means” to bring about regime change in Iran.








The morning edition is here below in case you missed it

2026 IRAQ BUDGET CRISIS? Iraq May Delay 2026 Budget Over Oil


Thank you!

Sunday, May 10, 2026

2026 IRAQ BUDGET CRISIS? Iraq May Delay 2026 Budget Over Oil

Mounting financial pressures threaten the 2026 budget.

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The government faces an early challenge in preparing the 2026 budget, amid declining oil revenues and escalating financial pressures, which puts it in front of limited options between presenting an austerity budget or temporarily continuing spending according to the 1/12 rule. Meanwhile, economic experts and specialists believe that the 2026 budget will face major financial challenges due to declining revenues, which may push it to reduce spending or postpone its approval. 

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Budget preparation

Nermin Maarouf, a member of the Finance Committee in the previous parliamentary session, confirmed in an interview with Al-Sabah that the government, if formed soon, still has time to submit the draft budget law, noting that its approval in previous years was often delayed until May or June. 

She added that the preparation of the budget in Iraq traditionally relies on simple items based on the allocations of the previous year, but she pointed out that there is no legal basis that allows for continued spending according to the (1/12) rule for two consecutive years in the absence of a budget.

 

compound impact

For his part, crisis management expert Ali Al-Fariji believes that the 2026 budget is no longer just a matter of timing, but a test of the state’s ability to deal with a “compound shock” that includes a decline in oil revenues and export disruptions as a result of regional tensions, in addition to the continued rise in operational spending within an economy that is almost entirely dependent on oil.

Al-Fariji explained in an interview with “Al-Sabah” that preparing a budget in the near term seems unlikely, due to the absence of stable assumptions related to oil prices and export levels, which suggests that the (1/12) rule will continue to be used temporarily until the financial vision becomes clear. 

 

dependence on oil

He added that the main challenges are structural in nature, most notably the dependence of revenues on oil by nearly 90%, the high operating expenses which account for more than 70% of total spending, as well as cash pressures and weak efficiency of investment spending.

 

Oil revenues

In the same context, economist Jalil Al-Lami confirmed in an interview with Al-Sabah that the option of submitting a full federal budget seems difficult in the short term, suggesting that the (1/12) rule will continue to be used temporarily, especially with the clear decline in oil revenues.

Al-Lami pointed out that Iraq used to rely on oil exports of around 3.5 million barrels per day with monthly revenues ranging between 7 and 9 billion dollars, before they decreased to about 2 billion dollars or less at some times, while the country needs at least 8 to 10 billion dollars per month to cover operating expenses, creating a financial gap that may reach 6 billion dollars per month.

 

Austerity budget

Al-Lami predicted that if the budget is prepared, it will be an austerity budget, based on an oil price between $60 and $65 per barrel, with a total size between 130 and 150 trillion dinars, and an expected deficit between 20 and 30 trillion dinars, which is subject to increase depending on 

Regarding developments in the oil market.

He added that the anticipated budget will not include an expansion in appointments or the launch of new projects, but will focus on completing existing projects and securing basic expenditures, with the possibility of resorting to internal borrowing or drawing from the cash reserve in the event that the crisis continues.

 

Temporary disbursement

He pointed out that “estimates indicate that the 2026 budget will either be a deferred budget managed through temporary spending, or an austerity budget focused on containing the crisis, at a time when the Iraqi economy is facing a real test to readjust the spending model and avoid slipping.” 

Towards a liquidity crisis in the near term.

The parliamentary finance committee expressed its position on borrowing from the central bank to finance domestic expenditures, noting that this issue is linked to the formation of the government.

 

Borrowing proposal

Committee member Ribwar Karim told the Iraqi News Agency, as reported by Al-Sabah newspaper, that "the proposal to borrow from the Central Bank to finance domestic expenditures is on hold." 

On forming the government.

He added that "there is a conviction among the political parties and blocs that there are serious attempts to appoint the next prime minister  As soon as possible.

He explained that “if a government is formed, there will be no need to borrow, as a fully empowered government will begin its duties,” noting that “borrowing from the Central Bank is merely an opinion put forward by some members of parliament.”

He stated that “this proposal is primarily linked to the formation of the government, and if that happens, there will be no need for this proposal.”


Trump: What happened in Iraq is "very good" and I'm happy with the prime minister-designate.

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US President Donald Trump said on Saturday that recent developments in Iraq were “very good,” expressing his satisfaction with the selection of the Iraqi prime minister-designate, in a further sign of Washington’s support for the new Iraqi leadership.

Trump said in a press statement followed by “Iraq Observer”, “What happened in Iraq is very good and I am happy with the prime minister-designate”, adding: “We are supposed to receive a response from Iran tonight.”

Trump had invited Iraqi Prime Minister-designate al-Zaidi to visit Washington following the formation of the new government, stressing the US administration’s desire to strengthen bilateral relations and security and economic cooperation between the two countries.

The US president also stressed his country's support for the formation of an Iraqi government capable of building a better future for Iraq, free from terrorism.

Al-Zaidi is the first independent Iraqi prime minister from outside the ruling political class since 2003.

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Bloomberg: Aramco and ADNOC successfully transported oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz

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Bloomberg reported that Saudi Aramco and the UAE's ADNOC were able to smuggle oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz using methods of concealment .

This comes amid increasing turmoil in the strait since tensions between the United States and Iran erupted in late February, raising risks to maritime traffic .



Al-Zidi and Al-Kadhimi discuss the political situation and the formation of the next government.

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The Iraqi Prime Minister-designate, Ali Faleh al-Zaidi, met today, Saturday, with former Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi.

During the meeting, the overall situation in the country was discussed, and a number of issues related to Iraq’s interests were discussed, in addition to emphasizing the importance of coordination and cooperation between political forces in order to form a comprehensive national government capable of facing various challenges, meeting the requirements of the current stage, and enhancing stability and serving the aspirations of citizens throughout the country.

 

Both sides stressed the need to unify efforts and support the path of national solutions in order to ensure the stability of the political and economic situation

in Iraq.

 

here: 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2eTOBRwbhwg

 

A different article

Prime Minister-designate Ali Faleh al-Zaidi met on Saturday with former Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi, where they discussed the overall general situation and political developments, and stressed the need to form a comprehensive national government capable of facing the challenges.

Al-Zaydi: Coordination is necessary to form a comprehensive government

The Prime Minister’s Media Office stated in a statement received by Noon News Agency that the meeting discussed the overall general situation in the country, and addressed a number of issues related to the country’s interests, as well as emphasizing the need for coordination and cooperation to form a comprehensive national government capable of facing various challenges and meeting the requirements of the current stage, in a way that enhances stability and serves the aspirations of citizens.

Al-Kadhimi: Strengthening political stability and prioritizing dialogue

For his part, former Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kadhimi stressed the importance of strengthening political and institutional stability, and working in the spirit of the state and national responsibility, in order to meet the aspirations of Iraqis for security, services and economic reform.

Al-Kadhimi stressed, according to a statement from his office received by Noon News Agency, the need to prioritize dialogue and understanding among national forces, and to protect state institutions and consolidate their prestige.

Wishes and support for the formation of a government capable of meeting aspirations

Al-Kadhimi expressed his wishes to the Prime Minister-designate for success in performing his duties in forming a government that meets the aspirations and challenges, serves Iraq’s higher interests, and preserves its sovereignty and stability.

He affirmed his support for every effort that would strengthen national unity and fortify the country against various challenges. 

 

Eco Iraq Observatory: 70% of the government curriculum is copied from the “White Paper”

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The Eco Iraq Observatory announced on Friday that more than 70% of the axes of the government’s economic program for the prime minister-designate are based on ideas and contents contained in the “White Paper” for economic reform presented by the previous government in 2020.

The observatory stated in a statement received by “Roj News” that “many paragraphs of the government’s economic program are directly inspired by the contents of the White Paper that was presented during the time of former Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kadhimi.”

He added that “the similarity is not limited to general titles, but includes similar terms and themes such as (digital transformation, electronic signature, support for the private sector, reform of the banking sector, and smart networks).”

The observatory noted that “the government program did not provide clear mechanisms to address the rentier economy or reduce the bloated public sector, which constitutes an increasing burden on the general budget, nor did it address in detail the tools for addressing the financial deficit or how to confront the shocks associated with fluctuations in oil prices and the decline in exports.”



General Petraeus will be in Baghdad soon.

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General Petraeus will be in Baghdad soon.

Informed sources revealed today that General David Petraeus, the former commander of the US Central Command, which is responsible for the Middle East region, and the director of the US Central Intelligence Agency, the CIA, will visit Baghdad soon.

The Middle East newspaper quoted sources as saying that "General David Petraeus, the former commander of the US Central Command, which is responsible for the Middle East region, and the director of the US Central Intelligence Agency, the CIA, may visit Baghdad this week to ensure that the new government will completely sever its ties with armed groups."

It was not possible to verify the official capacity that the American general would hold during his alleged visit to Baghdad.

Petraeus is considered one of the most prominent commanders whose name is associated with the war in Iraq after 2003. He gained his experience through multiple field and strategic roles, most notably his command of the 101st Airborne Division during the invasion that toppled Saddam Hussein's regime.


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An Iraqi committee is exploring mechanisms for

disarming factions amid escalating US pressure.

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The Asharq Al-Awsat newspaper, quoting Iraqi political sources, revealed the formation of a high-level Iraqi committee tasked with preparing an executive project for disarming armed factions, in preparation for presenting it to American officials in the coming days, amid escalating American pressure on Baghdad regarding the issue of weapons and Iranian influence within Iraq.

According to the sources, the committee held unannounced meetings during the past period with leaders of armed factions to discuss mechanisms for disarmament and reintegration of some elements into the civilian and security state institutions, but some of those meetings witnessed tension and objections from parties that refuse to give up their weapons.

The information indicated that the committee is operating under a mandate from forces within the coordination framework, at a time when political warnings are increasing that the anticipated government headed by Prime Minister-designate Ali Faleh Kazem al-Zaidi may face major challenges in implementing reforms related to the issue of weapons and financial resources, which Washington accuses some Iraqi parties of smuggling to Iran.

According to the report, the US administration has shown support for al-Zaidi since his appointment, but it links the continuation of this support to making tangible changes related to reducing the influence of armed factions within Iraqi state institutions.

The newspaper also quoted officials and political sources as saying that the proposed project includes the disarmament of heavy and medium weapons and the restructuring of some formations of the Popular Mobilization Forces, amid doubts about the ability of the next government to actually implement these steps, with the likelihood that some of the current moves are an attempt to absorb American pressure and buy time.

In contrast, sources representing a number of armed factions confirmed their refusal to hand over weapons, believing that American pressure would not push them to back down from their positions or change the existing power equations.

In parallel, an informed source revealed an agreement between forces within the coordination framework and the prime minister-designate to form a special committee to restrict weapons to the state, which includes, in addition to al-Zaydi, Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani, and the head of the Badr Organization, Hadi al-Amiri.

The source explained that the committee will develop practical mechanisms to regulate the weapons file and reintegrate some elements of the factions into civilian or security institutions, in line with the requirements of the current stage and the political and security challenges facing the country.



Washington's pressure is unsettling Tehran; the coordination framework is delaying the formation of al-Zidi's government amid fears of internal Iraqi

unrest.

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The formation of the new Iraqi government has entered a highly sensitive phase, following political leaks that revealed urgent Iranian messages sent to the leaders of the Coordination Framework, urging them to be patient and not rush to grant confidence to the government of Prime Minister-designate Ali Faleh al-Zaidi, in light of what sources described as the "ambiguous moment" that accompanied the nomination process, amid escalating talk of American interventions and pressures that tipped the scales in favor of al-Zaidi at the expense of other competitors within the Shiite bloc, a man who is unknown and has no clear political or popular affiliation.

According to informed sources who spoke to “Iraq Today”, the Iranian reservations are not only related to the method of assignment, but also to what Tehran describes as “sensitive pledges” that may have been made to the American side, which include highly complex files that affect the future of security and political balances in Iraq, most notably the restructuring or dissolution of some formations of the Popular Mobilization Forces, in addition to imposing restrictions on armed factions and subjecting them to a new security system, or clashing militarily with them.

Sources believe that these pledges and signals, some of which were included in al-Zaydi’s government program, represent a dangerous shift in the nature of the relationship between Baghdad and Washington, and may open the door to an unprecedented internal clash, especially since the armed factions consider any attempt to undermine their weapons or influence as a direct attack on them and their political and military project.

In a notable development, sources indicated that al-Zaydi has not yet presented a clear vision regarding the shape of Iraq’s foreign relations in the next stage, which has raised concerns within the Coordination Framework forces about a repeat of what happened in Lebanon with Nawaf Salam’s government, which – according to the sources – began with an escalating rhetoric towards Hezbollah and its institutions, which pushed the country into further division and political and security tension, and Lebanon now stands on the brink of collapse, and there is a clear siege of the Shiite political forces.

Sources confirm that the concerns are no longer limited to Iraqi forces alone, but now include regional parties who fear that passing the al-Zaydi government in its current form will lead to a direct confrontation within Iraq, which may affect the unity of the coordination framework itself, and open the door to sharp Shiite divisions at a very dangerous time.

According to the same information, leaders within the coordination framework have actually begun to recalculate their political positions, taking a step back from proceeding quickly with holding a confidence vote session, pending clarification of the regional and international understandings surrounding the new government.



The Secretary-General of Parliament: The date for the vote on the cabinet will be set for next Monday or Tuesday.

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The Secretary-General of the House of Representatives, Safwan Al-Jarjari, announced that the date for the vote on the cabinet has not yet been decided, indicating that the final decision is pending the presidency of the council, with the likelihood of it being held on Monday or Tuesday of next week.

Al-Jarjari said in a press statement that: “The House of Representatives has completed all preparations for holding the session to vote on the cabinet,” indicating that “it has been customary in previous government voting sessions to send invitations to political and diplomatic leaders, and things will become clearer tomorrow.”

He added that "tomorrow will see the start of sending invitations to the political leaders, the coordinating framework and the political council," stressing that "we are waiting for the Speaker of Parliament to set a date for the session, whether it will be on Monday or Tuesday."



this one makes it seem they may have had another phone call

Trump: What happened in Iraq is good, and I am happy with the prime minister-designate.

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Trump: What happened in Iraq is good, and I am happy with the prime minister-designate.

US President Donald Trump affirmed on Saturday that what happened in Iraq was very good, expressing his satisfaction with the Iraqi Prime Minister-designate, in a new indication of Washington's support for the new Iraqi leadership.

Trump said in a press statement followed by Al-Masalla that what happened in Iraq was very good and that he was happy with the prime minister-designate, adding: We are supposed to receive a response from Iran tonight.

Trump had invited al-Zaidi to visit Washington following the formation of the new government, indicating the US administration's desire to strengthen bilateral relations and security and economic cooperation between the two countries. He also emphasized Washington's support for the formation of a government capable of building a better future for Iraq, free from terrorism.

An Iraqi committee is negotiating with factions over the handover of weapons, and Washington is linking its support for al-Zaydi's government to the completion of the mission.

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An Iraqi committee is negotiating with factions over the handover of weapons, and Washington is linking its support for al-Zaydi's government to the completion of the mission.

Baghdad is moving under escalating American pressure towards opening the most sensitive files in years, with the revelation of information about a high-level Iraqi committee comprising three figures tasked with preparing an “executive project” to disarm armed factions and restructure the “Popular Mobilization Forces”, in preparation for presenting it to American officials within days, amidst sharp political division and widespread skepticism about the possibility of its actual implementation.

The data indicates that the committee, mandated by the “Coordination Framework”, held secret meetings with leaders of armed factions to discuss mechanisms for integrating fighters and withdrawing heavy and medium weapons, but some of the meetings witnessed tension and a direct rejection of the idea of handing over weapons.

These moves coincide with the imminent formation of the new government headed by al-Zaidi, who enjoys American support. However, this support appears contingent on a tangible shift in the issue of Iranian influence and the armed factions. Political circles believe that Washington is seeking to prevent figures associated with these factions from joining the next government, while issuing unstated threats of harsher economic and political measures if the delays continue.

In contrast, the armed factions are showing greater rigidity, as they believe that the current American pressure does not exceed what they faced during the previous years of the war, including military targeting and assassination operations.

Sources say that some factions believe that the recent clashes have strengthened their influence rather than weakened it, making them less willing to give up their weapons.

Iraqi sources expect the proposed project to be more of an attempt to “buy time” to pass the new government and appease Washington while waiting for the course of the escalation between Iran and the United States to become clear, while political figures warn that continued stalling could push Iraq towards harsh sanctions and broader political and economic isolation.


Al-Sharmani: Iraq remains a consumer market due to American pressure.

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Al-Sharmani: Iraq remains a consumer market due to American pressure.


MP Ahmed Al-Sharmani confirmed on Saturday that the Iraqi economy remains burdened by American "guardianship," indicating the existence of external forces working to obstruct any efforts to develop the country's productive sectors.


Al-Sharmani told the Information Agency that "economic dependence on American decisions has prevented the achievement of genuine financial independence," explaining that "vital sectors such as industry and agriculture continue to suffer significant decline due to foreign interventions aimed at keeping Iraq a consumer market."


He added that "there are systematic attempts to hinder the development of economic infrastructure," stressing the need to "liberate the national economy from imposed restrictions and activate local production to reduce reliance on imports and ensure the country's financial sovereignty." Earlier, political analyst Haider Al-Lami warned of American intentions regarding national resources, describing US President Donald Trump's statements regarding the formation of the Iraqi government as an attempt to seize control of the country's wealth.



A political agreement has been reached to pass the al-Zaydi government this week.

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A parliamentary source revealed on Saturday that there is a political agreement to pass the government of Prime Minister-designate Ali Faleh al-Zaidi during this week, before a number of MPs head to Saudi Arabia to perform the Hajj pilgrimage.

The source told Shafaq News Agency that the Speaker of Parliament “has not yet received any official notification from the government regarding the submission of the cabinet,” explaining that “if the notification arrives, the date of the session will be set and members of parliament will be notified 24 hours before the confidence vote session.”

He added that "there is an agreement between the parliament's leadership and the heads of the political blocs to pass the government formation during this week, before a group of MPs head to Saudi Arabia next week to perform the Hajj rituals."

Prime Minister-designate Ali Faleh al-Zaidi submitted the ministerial program for the new government to Speaker of Parliament Hebat Hamad al-Halbousi last Thursday (May 7), in preparation for circulating it to members of Parliament for review, with the names of the government formation to be submitted later.

On April 27, 2026, President Nizar Amidi tasked Al-Zaidi with forming the new government after he was nominated by the Coordination Framework to succeed Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani.



For some reason this was a really big deal in their news yesterday.  

Bin Salman congratulates Al-Zaidi: We look forward to working with you to strengthen relations.

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Bin Salman congratulates Al-Zaidi: We look forward to working with you to strengthen relations.

 

 

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman sent a congratulatory telegram on Saturday (May 9, 2026) to Ali al-Zaidi on the occasion of his appointment as head of the Iraqi government. In his telegram, bin Salman expressed his wishes for al-Zaidi to succeed in serving Iraq and its people, stressing his aspiration to work together to strengthen bilateral relations between Riyadh and Baghdad and enhance cooperation at various levels.

The Saudi Press Agency reported in a statement followed by Network 964 that “His Royal Highness Prince Mohammed bin Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud, Crown Prince and Prime Minister, sent a congratulatory telegram to His Excellency Mr. Ali Faleh Kazem Al-Zaidi on the occasion of his appointment as Prime Minister of the Republic of Iraq.”

She continued, “His Highness the Crown Prince said, ‘On the occasion of your appointment as Prime Minister of the Republic of Iraq, we are pleased to express to Your Excellency our sincere congratulations and best wishes for success and prosperity. We ask God Almighty to grant you success in serving Iraq and its brotherly people. We look forward to working with Your Excellency to strengthen the bonds of brotherly relations between our two countries and peoples, and to enhance them in all fields. We wish Your Excellency continued health and happiness, and the brotherly people of the Republic of Iraq further progress and prosperity.’”

On Saturday (May 2, 2029), Prime Minister-designate Ali al-Zidi received a phone call from Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, congratulating him on his official appointment to form the new government.

He also received a call from US President Donald Trump on Thursday (April 30, 2026), during which he congratulated him on being officially tasked with forming the new government, and extended an official invitation for him to visit Washington after the government is formed.

On Saturday (May 2, 2026), Al-Zidi received another call from the Emir of Qatar, Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani, congratulating him on his official appointment to form the new government. Al-Zidi also received an invitation from Al Thani to visit Qatar after the formation of the new government.



Mounting financial pressures threaten the 2026 budget.

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The government faces an early challenge in preparing the 2026 budget, amid declining oil revenues and escalating financial pressures, which puts it in front of limited options between presenting an austerity budget or temporarily continuing spending according to the 1/12 rule. Meanwhile, economic experts and specialists believe that the 2026 budget will face major financial challenges due to declining revenues, which may push it to reduce spending or postpone its approval. 

 

Budget preparation

Nermin Maarouf, a member of the Finance Committee in the previous parliamentary session, confirmed in an interview with Al-Sabah that the government, if formed soon, still has time to submit the draft budget law, noting that its approval in previous years was often delayed until May or June. 

She added that the preparation of the budget in Iraq traditionally relies on simple items based on the allocations of the previous year, but she pointed out that there is no legal basis that allows for continued spending according to the (1/12) rule for two consecutive years in the absence of a budget.

 

compound impact

For his part, crisis management expert Ali Al-Fariji believes that the 2026 budget is no longer just a matter of timing, but a test of the state’s ability to deal with a “compound shock” that includes a decline in oil revenues and export disruptions as a result of regional tensions, in addition to the continued rise in operational spending within an economy that is almost entirely dependent on oil.

Al-Fariji explained in an interview with “Al-Sabah” that preparing a budget in the near term seems unlikely, due to the absence of stable assumptions related to oil prices and export levels, which suggests that the (1/12) rule will continue to be used temporarily until the financial vision becomes clear. 

 

dependence on oil

He added that the main challenges are structural in nature, most notably the dependence of revenues on oil by nearly 90%, the high operating expenses which account for more than 70% of total spending, as well as cash pressures and weak efficiency of investment spending.

 

Oil revenues

In the same context, economist Jalil Al-Lami confirmed in an interview with Al-Sabah that the option of submitting a full federal budget seems difficult in the short term, suggesting that the (1/12) rule will continue to be used temporarily, especially with the clear decline in oil revenues.

Al-Lami pointed out that Iraq used to rely on oil exports of around 3.5 million barrels per day with monthly revenues ranging between 7 and 9 billion dollars, before they decreased to about 2 billion dollars or less at some times, while the country needs at least 8 to 10 billion dollars per month to cover operating expenses, creating a financial gap that may reach 6 billion dollars per month.

 

Austerity budget

Al-Lami predicted that if the budget is prepared, it will be an austerity budget, based on an oil price between $60 and $65 per barrel, with a total size between 130 and 150 trillion dinars, and an expected deficit between 20 and 30 trillion dinars, which is subject to increase depending on 

Regarding developments in the oil market.

He added that the anticipated budget will not include an expansion in appointments or the launch of new projects, but will focus on completing existing projects and securing basic expenditures, with the possibility of resorting to internal borrowing or drawing from the cash reserve in the event that the crisis continues.

 

Temporary disbursement

He pointed out that “estimates indicate that the 2026 budget will either be a deferred budget managed through temporary spending, or an austerity budget focused on containing the crisis, at a time when the Iraqi economy is facing a real test to readjust the spending model and avoid slipping.” 

Towards a liquidity crisis in the near term.

The parliamentary finance committee expressed its position on borrowing from the central bank to finance domestic expenditures, noting that this issue is linked to the formation of the government.

 

Borrowing proposal

Committee member Ribwar Karim told the Iraqi News Agency, as reported by Al-Sabah newspaper, that "the proposal to borrow from the Central Bank to finance domestic expenditures is on hold." 

On forming the government.

He added that "there is a conviction among the political parties and blocs that there are serious attempts to appoint the next prime minister  As soon as possible.

He explained that “if a government is formed, there will be no need to borrow, as a fully empowered government will begin its duties,” noting that “borrowing from the Central Bank is merely an opinion put forward by some members of parliament.”

He stated that “this proposal is primarily linked to the formation of the government, and if that happens, there will be no need for this proposal.”


Here is the link to that Ripple ULSD transaction that I described,


Missed the last episode of My FX Buddies? Catch it below

 

Iraq’s Central Bank Moves to Protect the Iraqi Dinar