Tuesday, January 12, 2021

WOTS MON JAN 10 21

 WOTS MON JAN 10 21

These are the articles I mentioned on the Podcast https://anchor.fm/dashboard/episode/eorp6f

Deleting 3 zeros or printing 100 dinars denomination ... Experts determine the best to reduce the repercussions of changing the exchange rate - Urgent

link

A few days ago, two proposals have been put forward to reduce the effects of the devaluation of the dinar against the dollar, which was determined by a decision of the Ministry of Finance to fix the exchange rate at 1470 dinars against the dollar after it stabilized for more than 15 years, up to 1200 dinars, which caused bad effects on citizens, raising the prices of basic materials and reducing the value of salaries.

Parliament finances clarify its position

A member of the Parliamentary Finance Committee, MP Abd al-Hadi al-Saadawi, revealed, on Saturday, his committee’s opinion about deleting 3 zeros from the Iraqi currency, according to the proposals put forward.

Al-Saadawi said in an interview with (Baghdad Today), that “the monetary policy in Iraq is one of the exclusive powers of the Central Bank and the financial policy is subject to the authority of the Ministry of Finance and the government, which is concerned with it, and it is not the prerogatives of the House of Representatives and the Finance Committee, meaning that changing the exchange rate or removing zeros from the currency is not relevant. Absolutely out of the House of Representatives.

Al-Saadawi added, “We do not see any tendency at the present time to delete zeros from the Iraqi currency by the central bank,” pointing out that “even the exchange rate of the dollar is subject to the powers of the central bank and it was recently raised after a decision inside the bank and if the government has another opinion about the exchange rate, then this matter Up to her ”

 

Expert: There are pros and cons

In turn, economist Safwan Qusay said in an interview with (Baghdad Today), "There is no urgent necessity to issue a new paper currency with a denomination of 100,000 Iraqi dinars or more, and that the proposal to delete the zeros requires a bank effort and withdraw the circulating currency."

On the other hand, he added, "the level of circulation of the Iraqi dinar is very easy, therefore printing a large currency in a denomination of 100 thousand Iraqi dinars or more will facilitate the process of large financial exchange," noting that "the responsibility and task of issuing these categories of currencies rests with the Central Bank."

He added that "the process of issuing money needs a financial cover in hard currency or gold, in addition to the market’s need for time to absorb the level of devaluation of the local dinar that the government has recently undertaken."

Qusay pointed out that "the step of deleting zeros from the currency raises the level of confidence in the dinar and reduces the burden of transferring cash as well as calculations, but conducting it now may confuse the market because it needs to withdraw the dinar from traders and inject a new currency."

Turn 

Earlier, the former budget director at the Ministry of Finance, Hazem Hadi, confirmed that the devaluation of the local currency in the country caused a shock to the market, while the shock that occurred was necessary to finance the budget deficit instead of endangering state sovereignty, as he described.

Hazem Hadi said, in a televised interview (Baghdad Today), that the advantages of the financial budget for the next year are "saving money and avoiding borrowing, because the size of the debt to Iraq has become very large and reached 160 trillion dinars, including internal and external loans."

Hadi added, "The internal debt decreased automatically with the rise in the value of the dollar against the dinar," indicating that "the shock that occurred in the market was inevitable, because covering the financial deficit by borrowing includes major disadvantages, including the loss of state sovereignty."

He pointed out that "the failure of the economic policy in the country in the past years has made Iraq a market for imported goods and the Iraqi market has been flooded with these commodities, and also led to a decrease in revenues due to the decline in the price and production of oil, and all these factors caused a major financial crisis for the Iraqi economy."

Since the collapse of oil prices earlier this year, Iraq is facing an unprecedented liquidity crisis, and the government of Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kazemi has been forced to borrow from the reserves of the Central Bank to pay nearly $ 5 billion per month, representing public sector salaries and pensions.

The Iraqi local markets in Baghdad and other provinces have been turbulent since last week, after the decision to devalue the currency to compensate for the deficit in the 2021 budget.

The decision sparked a wave of anger in the Iraqi street, but Al-Kazemi defended his government's move and said that he had two options, "Either the collapse of the regime and enter into complete chaos, or we enter into a Caesarean section for reform."

Al-Kazemi cited during a speech at the Iraqi Council of Ministers session held last Saturday, in several countries, including South Korea and Singapore, when they had previously taken "difficult decisions" in order to reform the economy.

Financial Committee: The budget will be delayed for 6 months if it is refused to pass it

link


Member of the Finance Committee, Representative Jamal Cougar, confirmed, on Saturday, that political parties stand against the passage of the budget, warning of the consequences of its rejection.
Cougar said, "The budget needs careful study because the deficit is large and its numbers are large, and it came in a difficult economic circumstance, so it must be subjected to a thorough study," noting that "all the items in the budget are sensitive and controversial, and there are political parties looking for gaps in it." And another looking for reforms, and all of this takes space and time for discussion. "
He continued, "We should stand against the budget formula, and that it be modified," warning against "refusing to pass it, because it gives room to be delayed at least 6 months, and this is a dangerous matter, because the budget needs to be modified, not delay, and it is in line with the economic reality of the country." .
He pointed out that "there are political positions present, as some parties stand against passing them," stressing that "the country's situation does not bear the disruption of the budget, and that any suspension means delay in paying salaries and that the street will not bear this, and everyone must bear the responsibility for passing them."

COUNCIL OF REPRESENTATIVES MEETS FOR FIRST READING OF IRAQ’S 2021 BUDGET

link

The Council of Representatives on Saturday (January 9) began consideration of the government’s draft 2021 Federal Budget Law.

Finance Committee Rapporteur Ahmed Safar told the state-run al-Sabah newspaper that a second reading of the draft legislation will likely take place on Monday and Tuesday. It will then be referred to the Finance Committee.

Safar added that “all budget articles are subject to change,” arguing that they are not consistent with the government’s reform program.

The budget will do much to guide economic life across all of Iraq, but many observers are paying attention to how it will affect the Kurdistan Region and relations between Erbil and Baghdad.

In the draft, the Region will receive a 12.76 percent in return for Erbil transferring 250,000 barrels of crude oil per day and a percentage of customs revenue to Baghdad.

Member of the Finance Committee Jamal Kochar told NRT’s 90 Minutes program that “the Kurds should fight for the 2021 budget bill to be implemented as it is, because otherwise Baghdad is likely to demand all the oil of the [Kurdistan] Region due to rising in oil prices."

Kochar said that, unlike the 2019 budget, there is no provision in the budget to continue paying public sector salaries in the Kurdistan Region in the event of a dispute between the two capitals.

Another member of the finance committee, Ahmed Haji Rashid, insisted in a post on Facebook that parliament cannot change the decision about the devaluation of the dinar during the session.

He said that $100 has been pegged at 145,000 Iraqi dinars and the price of a barrel of oil has been set at $42 in the bill and that changing it would undermine the rest of the legislation.

“The current value of the dinar has returned nearly 23 trillion Iraqi dinars to the federal government…any change will spoil the law which increases deficits and the government will not be able to fill them,” he said.

Another aspect of the legislation guaranteed to attract controversy is a provision to devalue the Iraqi dinar, which will increase prices on the imported goods for everyday Iraqis.


a list of the exchange rates of the dollar against the dinar in the Iraqi market:

 

Baghdad - the price on the Kifah Stock Exchange

143,250

...

Price in exchange (approximate)

142,000

143,500

—————————————-

Sulaymaniyah / Bursa

143,250

-———————

Basra / Stock Exchange

143,000

-———————

Mosul / Joomla

143,100

————————

Erbil / Bursa

143,150

———————-

Karbala / Bursa

143,300

———————-

Najaf / Bursa

143,300



The Markets:
The Asian markets closed NIK up by 2.36% HSI up by .11% SHANG down by 1.08%
The UK markets are currently trading mostly in the red from .23% to .47%
Our futures are currently trading mixed the DOW at 31097 up by .18% SNP at 3824 up by .55% NDX at 13043 down by .41%

Precious Metals:
Gold is green at 1849  Silver is  green at 25.25 Copper is  red at 361 Platinum is red at 1050
Brent 55 WTi 51


Favorite Currencies Forex Quotes

SymbolBidAskHighLowOpenChangeTime
 USD/IQD  1444.2000  1493.4000 1458.4000 1458.2000 1458.2000  -0.4000 12:02
 USD/VND  23050.0000  23070.0000 23047.9700 23046.7100 23046.7100  2.5100 22:10
 USD/CNY  6.4760  6.4780 6.4905 6.4705 6.4744  0.0014 05:08
 USD/KWD  0.3031  0.3041 0.3033 0.3032 0.3033  -0.0001 04:23
 GBP/USD  1.3485  1.3486 1.3567 1.3482 1.3567  -0.0076 05:10
 USD/IRR  42000.0000  42210.0000 42097.5000 42097.5000 42097.5000  -914.4000 07:13
 USD/IDR  14191.0000  14202.0000 14255.0000 13872.0000 14035.0000  63.0000 05:07


Things in the News:


Iraqi Articles:

Low oil prices, with renewed fears of a new spread of the Corona virus

link

Oil prices plunged on Monday, due to renewed concerns about global fuel demand amid strict coronavirus closures in Europe and new movement restrictions in China, the world's second largest oil consumer, after a jump in cases there.

Brent crude futures were down 65 cents, or 1.16%, to $ 55.34 a barrel by 05:10 GMT, after earlier rising to $ 56.39, the highest level since February 25, 2020.

The US West Texas Intermediate Index (WTI) slipped 37 cents, or 0.69%, to $ 51.88 a barrel. West Texas Intermediate crude rose to its highest in nearly a year on Friday.

The National Health Authority of China said today, Monday, that mainland China has witnessed the largest daily increase in cases of Covid-19 in more than five months, as new infections continue to rise in Hebei Province, which surrounds the capital Beijing.

Most of Europe is also subject to the toughest restrictions, according to the Oxford Tertiary Index, which assesses indicators such as travel bans and school and workplace closures.

However, oil price losses have been curbed by US President-elect Joe Biden's plans to announce trillions of dollars in new coronavirus relief bills this week, many of which will be repaid through increased borrowing.

Crude prices also remained supported by Saudi Arabia’s pledge last week to voluntarily cut oil production by one million barrels per day in February and March as part of an agreement that would keep most OPEC + producers steady during new shutdowns.

 

Central Bank sales down more than 50% from last week

link

The Central Bank of Iraq's foreign exchange sales fell on Monday, registering a 52.17% decline.

According to the correspondent of The Twilight News Agency, the Central Bank of Iraq witnessed during its auction to buy and sell foreign currencies today a decrease in sales by 52.17%, to reach 11 million 625 thousand dollars, covered by the bank at a base exchange rate of 1460 dinars per dollar, compared to Thursday of last week where sales reached 23 million and 450 thousand dollars.

He added that all sales were sold to boost stocks abroad in the form of remittances and credits, while the dollar was not bought in cash.

Our correspondent noted that five banks have met requests to strengthen assets abroad.


Parliament opens a "direct channel" with the government to amend the budget

link

The Parliamentary Finance Committee expected, on Sunday, to make extensive amendments to the draft budget law for the current year in accordance with the powers of the House of Representatives in terms of transfer according to the constitution, while it disclosed the opening of a direct channel between the government and the Finance Committee, especially those related to the chapters that result in deleting and increasing funds .

"The Finance Committee and members of the House of Representatives have many observations and objections to a large number of its paragraphs, and there is no doubt that it will be subject to wide-ranging amendments in accordance with the powers of the parliament approved by the constitution," said a member of the committee, Representative Jamal Cougar.

Cougar added, "The large number of amendments will need to be reviewed directly with the government, especially those related to adding funds or reducing the fact that Parliament has the authority to transfer only."

He ruled out "restoring the budget to the government and replacing it with opening a direct channel between the government and the Finance Committee, especially with regard to the chapters that result in deleting and increasing funds."

The MP for the State of Law coalition, Alia Nassif, revealed in a previous statement to "the information", the existence of parliamentary intentions to return the draft budget bill to the government


CBI Update:  Just  a note:

They have been having auctions and the ISX has been trading regularly; the sites just don't update in time to put the information in this report, unless it is 
here.   

Click on the link above for the latest update.

The CBI for rate is 1460

The currency auction For January 11, 2021 total sales amount $11,625,000

  including   $0. CASH 

ISX Update:   

www.isx-iq.net/

Shares Traded: not updated for today
Value Traded: not updated for today 

1-10-2021  Newshound Guru MilitiaMan    Article:  "Parliament opens a "direct channel" with the government to amend the budget"   Quote:  “especially with regard to the chapters that result in deleting and increasing funds."  Well deleting zeros is to increase funds is it not? ...IMO it is...

1-10-2021   Newshound Guru Jeff    they already did the first reading of the 2021 budget yesterday -Saturday...


1-10-2021   Newshound Guru Pimpy  Article:   "For the second day, the dollar continues to decline against the dinar in Baghdad and Erbil"   It's not just an IR or RV you should be counting on.  There are other things that can happen to help increase the value of the dinar.  That doesn't mean an IR or RV is not going to happen.  I never said that.  I'm saying there are other things that can help the situation out.  And one of those things are what?  The purchasing power of the US dollar falling.  In other words it's losing its value.  There are articles galore saying the dollar is taking a hit.  It should not be a surprise we are expecting this sucker to take a hit big time...the Iraqi dinar will go up in value against the U.S. dollar...

1-10-2021   Newshound Guru MilitiaMan   Article quote:  "She hopes that these procedures will coincide with discussions within the House of Representatives on the budget, and it should be noted that the main policy measures to protect the poor and the vulnerable have been included in the budget and discussed in the minister's statement regarding the budget."  To protect the citizens is to delete the zeros!! imo This is HUGE.. Wow.  



Catnip's Corner:
*************
ARTICLE 1 (from PM Kadhimi's website; posted only on Arabic side, not on English side)

Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kazemi receives the President and members of the Independent High Electoral Commission

The Prime Minister, Mr. Mustafa Al-Kazemi, received today, Sunday, the President and members of the Independent High Electoral Commission.

During the meeting, they discussed the progress of preparations for the implementation of the elections on the dates previously announced by the government on June 6, 2021.

The Prime Minister, Mr. Mustafa Al-Kazemi, said that the government continues to support the work of the commission with all it can, in order to adhere to the timings and timetables required for the success of the electoral process.

His Excellency also listened to a briefing on the latest stages of the commission’s work, in the field of political entities and candidates ’registration, the biometric voter registration process, and the updating of the electoral register.

The meeting witnessed a review of the methods used to overcome the obstacles facing the work of the Commission, pending the formation of the Federal Court in accordance with the constitutional contexts.

For his part, the Board of Commissioners thanked the governmental support for the work of the Commission and the electoral process and the preparations for it, for the sake of the success of the elections, in a way that ensures that the outcomes of the elections are a true expression of the will of the Iraqi people.

Media Office of the Prime Minister
10-Jan-2021

*************
ARTICLE 2 (from Government of Iraq twitter account)

In this episode of #DedicatedToService #والنعم_منك, we meet Brigadier Kakha Barra Ramadan from Iraq’s Border Guards Command to find out about his role in protecting Iraq’s borders.
*************
ARTICLE 3

Economist: The 2021 budget has large exaggerations
01/9/2021 16:11 
[Baghdad-Where]

Economist Basem Jamil Antoine explained, today, Saturday, that it would have been possible to address the economic crises if the government had listened to economic experts and specialists in this regard.

Antoine said in an interview that "the country's economic situation and previous accumulations are very large between corruption, mismanagement and tampering with public money, which led to an increase in the poverty rate over 35%," noting "a significant increase in the unemployment rate, which in turn burdens the citizen."

And the economic expert continued: "But the question here is is it borne by the Iraqi citizen, certainly not, but by the corrupt who caused this economic crisis in Iraq."

Antoine explained that "the budget has great exaggerations, and the trick lies in hitting the dollar in 1450, which led to a significant increase in the proportion of the budget, which in turn caused many exaggerations."

*************
ARTICLE 4

"Important" government action on employee salaries
10/1/2021 14:51 
[Baghdad-Where]

Minister of Planning, Khaled Battal Al-Najm, announced today, Sunday, that the number of employees registered in the Job Information Bank at the Central Bureau of Statistics has increased to more than two million employees from all institutions of the Iraqi state.

The ministry stated in a statement that the Minister of Planning "chaired the first meeting of the Diwani Order 55 Committee charged with developing the process of issuing the job number for all employees of the Iraqi state."

Al-Battalan explained, "This committee is one of the most important committees because it will take care of finding solutions and treatments for a problem that is complex, which is the job movement in Iraq, which is facing an accumulated structural defect over the past years, indicating that the ministry has sent mobile teams to ministries for the purpose of obtaining detailed data." For employees, in addition to the other track, which is to address the concerned authorities to provide the Central Bureau of Statistics with that data.

He pointed out that "the committee will work to establish a platform or application on smart phones, to collect employee data, by personally entering their data based on the data of the unified national card, indicating at the same time that among the procedures that will be worked on is the establishment of the Ministry of Interior." By working on issuing a national card for all employees who have not yet obtained it, as well as other options.

He added that "the committee will work to choose the best of them, stressing that the committee's mission is limited to four months to accomplish its mission under the supervision of the Ministry of Planning," calling on all ministries and state institutions to expedite sending their employees' data, with the aim of working to establish a unified system for salaries, for all spending units, That will be launched through the electronic platform located at the Ministry of Planning. "

The statement pointed out that “the Diwani Order 55 Committee is headed by the head of the Central Bureau of Statistics, Diaa Awad Kazem, and its membership includes representatives from the Prime Minister’s Office, the General Secretariat of the Council of Ministers, the Ministries of Interior and Communications, the Office of Financial Supervision, as well as the Central Bureau of Statistics. The committee discussed a number in its first meeting. One of the issues related to preparing an employee number system.

*************
ARTICLE 5

Iraq maintains its global ranking in gold reserves
10/1/2021 11:09
[Follow-up_in]

The World Gold Council revealed, on Sunday, the increase in the possession of the central banks of countries of gold, as well as the governorate of Iraq on its global rank.

According to the table it published for the month of January, the council said, "Iraq has maintained the 38th position in the world and fifth in the Arab world with the largest gold reserves at 96.3 tons, which represents 8.4 percent of the rest of the other reserves."

The World Council noted, "The central banks' holdings of gold increased by 20 tons to reach 35.191 thousand tons compared to last December."

He added, "The most prominent country that bought gold is Uzbekistan, where it added 8.4 tons to its gold reserves, amounting to 324 tons, while Qatar bought 3.1 tons, bringing its reserves to 56.7 tons, and India bought 2.8 tons, bringing its reserves to 672.9 tons. Then Kazakhstan bought 1.7 tons and Ukraine bought 0.6 tons. Tons ",And the World Gold Council, which is based in the British capital, London, stated that "the increase was compensated for by more than the total sales in Turkey after the increase in domestic demand, which led to a decrease in its reserves, and that Mongolia reduced its gold reserves by 2.4 tons."

*************


No comments:

Post a Comment