Friday, March 12, 2021

WOTS FRI MAR 12 21

WOTS FRI MAR 12 21


No My FX Buddy Podcast today

The Markets:
The Asian markets closed mixed NIK up by 1.73% HSI down by 2.20% SHANG up by .47%
The UK markets are currently trading in the red mostly from .05% to .57% the FTSE is currently up by .04%
Our futures are currently trading mixed  DOW at 32423 up  by .17% SNP at 3917 down  by .26% NDX at 12878 down  by 1.23%

Precious Metals:
Gold is red at 1705 Silver is red  at 25.66 Copper is red at 411 Platinum is red at 1190 
Brent 68 WTI  64   Bitcoin: 56,348

Favorite Currencies Forex Quotes

SymbolBidAskHighLowOpenChangeTime
 USD/IQD  1460.0000  1465.0000 1457.8000 1456.5000 1457.8000  -0.1000 16:00
 USD/VND  23055.0000  23058.0000 23037.2600 23021.9200 23035.9600  -11.2600 16:00
 USD/CNY  6.5075  6.5095 6.5073 6.4851 6.4928  0.0144 16:00
 USD/KWD  0.3020  0.3027 0.3026 0.3021 0.3021  0.0002 16:00
 GBP/USD  1.3921  1.3924 1.4004 1.3863 1.3990  -0.0074 16:00
 USD/IRR  42000.0000  42210.0000 42097.5000 42097.5000 42097.5000  0.0000 00:00
 USD/IDR  14383.0000  14400.0000 14436.0000 14285.0000 14292.0000  92.0000 16:00

Things in the News:



Iraqi Articles:

Touching $ 70 ... Iraqi oil rose to its highest level in 14 months

link

Price of one barrel of oil from Basra Light crude touched $ 70 today, in a rise of Iraqi oil to its highest level in 14 months.
And Basra Light Oil, a supplier to Asia, according to the official newspaper, increased by 4.37%, to touch $ 70 a barrel.
While the price of Basra heavy oil recorded an increase as well, where the price of a barrel reached $ 65.8, an increase of 4.76.


The last moments ... Parliamentary Finance reveals the latest developments in the budget debate

link

A member of the Parliamentary Finance Committee said that "there is convergence regarding the share of the Kurdistan Region in the draft federal budget law for the current year 2021."

Sherwan Mirza said in a press statement, "The Kurdish blocs are waiting for the Shiite blocs to present their last opinion regarding the region’s share," noting that "there is convergence between the two sides in opinions."
He added, "The government proposal and the proposal of the Shiite blocs are close."
Mirza ruled out "passing the budget law in the House of Representatives without the Kurds," noting that "there may be a final agreement regarding the region’s share in the last moments before the vote on the bill in the parliament session scheduled for next Monday."
The Speaker of Parliament, Muhammad al-Halbousi, had directed in the last session to include the draft federal budget bill for 2021 in the parliament session scheduled for next Monday, based on a request submitted by Representative Yusef al-Kalabi signed by 150 deputies.


International Monetary: Biden plan will positively affect the global economy

link

The International Monetary Fund considered that US President Joe Biden's plan to stimulate the domestic economy will positively affect global growth.

"The US plan will have" positive effects on the rest of the global economy, "said IMF spokesman Gerry Rice, during a press conference in Washington, DC.

He expected most countries to benefit from "the increase in American demand for basic commodities, as well as imports of goods and services ... which will contribute to global growth and recovery."

But the international official called for monitoring the potential risks of pumping huge amounts of money into the world's largest economy. Analysts expect the plan to lead to higher inflation.

And economists around the world have recently raised warnings of the possibility of a sharp wave of inflation in the various countries that have approved stimulus packages, with the wave reaching developing countries and negatively affecting the economic growth figures for the world as a whole.

"We have to be alert to the risks, and countries must be alert to any potential risks," Rice said.

In January, the IMF expected the US economy to grow 5.1 percent in 2021.

Rice said that the fund is currently expecting, after the stimulus plan, additional growth between 5 to 6 percent annually over the next three years in the United States, and "this means reviewing positive expectations for the US economy, and raising global growth expectations."

The fund is expected to publish an update on global economic growth forecasts, via the "World Economic Outlook" report, on April 6.

"Until then, we will conduct a more in-depth analysis of the impact of the US recovery plan," added the Fund spokesman.

Last January, the International Monetary Fund raised global growth forecasts from 5.2 percent to 5.5 percent. As a result of the acceleration of vaccine campaigns against the Corona virus, and the government's economic support plans

New changes in the exchange rates of the dollar attract the attention of the Iraqi street ... "significant" consequences predicted by economists

link

 

Wide anticipation continues in the Iraqi street for any new decision related to changing the exchange rate of the dollar again in Iraq and reducing it or returning it to its previous price, after the committee formed to study the consequences of changing the exchange rate announced that it would come out with recommendations to the Council of Ministers within 30 days.

While there is talk, anticipation, and calls for restoring the previous exchange rate, economists have highlighted major consequences that may occur as a result of changing the exchange rate.

Economic expert Manar Al-Obaidi says in a blog posted by "Yass Iraq", "There are a lot of discussions these days regarding the review of the exchange rate and whether it will be changed or not and return it to 1200," noting that "any change in the exchange rate in this near period will have major repercussions Including the loss of confidence in the Iraqi economy.

He adds: "The exchange rate was made under pressure from the World Bank and the international parties supporting Iraq, and the process of returning the price will lead to a reduction in support from these parties," noting that "even with a change in exchange rates, most of the materials will not return to their normal prices directly, but rather a period of distrust In the Iraqi market, it will make importers maintain a high exchange rate for fear of a return to its rise.

He explained that "the government should take advantage of the currently high price of oil to immediately start building industrial strategic projects capable of providing raw materials for manufacturing industries, which will support the provision of a local product capable of providing various products to the Iraqi market."

He stressed that, "If the exchange rate must be changed, it is better to move towards floating the dollar instead of the policy of controlling the exchange rate and depleting hard currency to maintain a constant exchange rate," noting that "what is required from the Ministry of Planning is to work strongly to clarify the sectors that most affect the rise in the dollar price And work vigorously to launch program packages to reduce the impact of the depreciation of the dinar on these sectors, especially in the food and health sector.

He continued, "Working to issue a performance follow-up report for the development plan, which is the basis for building the country and activating the correct economic policies instead of focusing on monetary policy, which is supportive of economic policy and not the pillar of the Iraqi economy," stressing "the need to activate the 3 trillion initiative that was announced." About the Central Bank to support vulnerable groups and work to activate the ration card and improve its vocabulary


CBI Update:  Just  a note:

They have been having auctions and the ISX has been trading regularly; the sites just don't update in time to put the information in this report, unless it is 
here.   

Click on the link above for the latest update.

The CBI for rate is 1460

The currency auction For  March 12, 2021 total sales amount $0. FRIDAY

including   $0. CASH 

ISX Update:   

www.isx-iq.net/

Shares Traded: not updated for today
Value Traded: not updated for today 


3-12-2021   Newshound Guru Clare   [Guru Frank26]...taught about the 3 phases. In ph1 at 1-1, will we be able to exchange then, or do we need to wait for ph2 higher rate?]  YOU CAN EXCHANGE IN PHASE #1 IF YOU CHOOSE TO...THE RATE WILL BE INTERNATIONAL AT  1-1.   IT WOULD BE YOUR CHOICE TO WAIT FOR A HIGHER RATE IF YOU WANT TO OR NOT. imo.  I WOULD LIKE TO POINT OUT...FRANK [Guru Frank26] SAID THE $4.25 WAS THE CAP INTERNATIONALLY IN HIS OPINON... AFTER THE 1-1 AT THE ONSET, THERE WILL BE ANOTHER RATE INCREASE INSIDE OF IRAQ. FRANK SAID THE RATE & TIMEFRAME WAS UNKNOWN OF THAT 2ND INCREASE...imo.

3-12-2021   Newshound Guru Kaperoni  
 ...There is no RV.  The only way the dinar will go up in value is with the success of the private sector.  Iraq needs to continue to pass laws that are critical to the growth of the economy. Only with significant investment and the development of a private sector will the dinar begin to go up in value. There are no shortcuts...
3-11-2021   Intel Guru Frank26   The moment the Iraqi dinar inside of Iraq goes up in value because they have lifted the 3 zeros off their exchange rate...the Real Effective Exchange Rate will be applied to the Iraqi dinar externally...they are about to give the citizens of Iraq the new small category notes at a 1 to 1 rate for their currency...not only domestically but internationally ...I think in about 8 month approximately give or take you will see not a 1 to 1 rate anymore...it walks toward the REER [Real Effective Exchange Rate]...

3-11-2021   Newshound/Intel Guru Mnt Goat  
 Article:  "AL-HALBOUSI: PRESENT THE BUDGET TO A VOTE SOON, AND WE WILL PROCEED WITH THE LEGISLATION OF THE OIL AND GAS LAW"   I have always said that Iraq will need to fully implement their new constitution of 2005 no matter what this means prior to the reinstatement of their currency. There is not much more to do. We know they need a referendum for the Article 140 part to settle how these disputed pieces will be managed and who will manage them. There is also the infamous oil and gas law. Both of these are now in their final stages and we should finally see them. There is also the court reforms that are expected...

3-11-2021   Newshound Guru Pimpy   Article:   "Member of Parliament on the exchange rate of the dollar:  It will continue until this date"  What?  Is there a date for the rate?  Quote:   "...calls for a reduction or restoration of the exchange rate to its previous state."  ...what does this mean? ...some people think it means restoring it to its previous rate of $3.22 for every dinar...It isn't very clear here...IMO a jump that big at this moment would be a bad move...It would cause the collapse of the dinar jumping to the $3.22 rate.  Not quite yet.  Let's let them get things going and then let's see what happens.  Restoring it back to the 1190 level I can see that...yes you guys can make all kinds of arguments both ways about what the rate should be.  I understand that... does that mean it will never change No...it could change by next month that's the thing, we have to watch what they do...When Kuwait went to change their dinars they told people it wouldn't happen for years then it happened two days later...

3-11-2021   Intel Guru MarkZ   [via PDK]   Well, if you are following any news from Iraq you should be excited…they are ramming HCL (Hydro Carbon Law) through so they can change their value….  I have talked to a couple contacts on the ground inside Iraq and HCL is being pushed and they are trying very hard to have a new value within the next 2 weeks.  Even all my redemption center people are on call now…on standby for now and for the weekend…they need to be able to report to the centers within a couple of hours. …things are getting exciting…

3-11-2021   Newshound Guru Jeff    "The House of Representatives completes voting on the Federal Court Bill"  They've had attempts to pass this Federal court Law for a very long time over many many years...It's part of the basket of suspended laws...it's also linked and timed with the rate change.  It can only happen in close proximity to the rate change.  Last week they finished 6 out of 10 parts...yesterday they finished the last 4 sections.  At this time the Federal Court Bill has been completely passed and approved...that's huge progress...Iraq is now graduating back to the international world...

3-11-2021   Intel Guru Frank26   Question:   [The Bank of International Settlements - the central bank of all central banks and it is a requirement by the BIS that they be notified within a certain amount of time (and that fluctuates) as to when a country is going to change their currency rate...Has the BIS been notified of the imminent rate change of Iraq?]   In my opinion yes.

3-11-2021   Intel Guru Bruce  [via WiserNow]   You know...by now that Iraq could have done their thing many times over...but they – and...Central Bank of Iraq – is the governing body that controls the rate of the Dinar...However – even though Iraq is considered a sovereign nation now – they are still subject to the Treasury of the United States to more or less give them the go ahead as to when to release the new rate...today we find that Iraq has a I think the term “deadline’...There’s a theoretical deadline let’s call it for Iraq to do this on Sunday the 14th...I have heard of a window that was given to me today that took us from tonight to all the way to Saturday – and this is from a really good source...So – we have a lot to look forward to this week – I believe we are in really good shape for this to go now...we do know that the rates are going to be fantastic – I think even a little better than we thought...


Catnip's Corner:
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ARTICLE 1 (from PM Kadhimi's website; posted only on Arabic side, not on English side)

At the time this report was submitted, there are no new articles posted on PM Kadhimi's website.

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ARTICLE 2

Watch: PM @MAKadhimi says, seven months after coming to office, the government needs to evaluate its performance as he urges ministers to travel on a weekly basis to Al-Nasiriyah and other Iraqi provinces to follow up on the work of their ministries on the ground.
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ARTICLE 3

Al-Kaabi: We are going to approve the Federal Court’s law ... this is about holding the elections on time

11/3/2021 15:26 • 
[Baghdad-Where]
Deputy Speaker of Parliament Hassan al-Kaabi confirmed, Thursday, that the parliament has proceeded to complete the legislation of the Federal Supreme Court law to end the most important obstacle facing early elections, while indicating that early elections will take place as scheduled.
A statement by Al-Kaabi’s office stated, "The latter received the Special Representative of the Secretary-General of the United Nations in Iraq, Jeanine Blashart, and during the meeting discussed ways of close cooperation between Iraq and the United Nations and the electoral team in the mission in the file of the success of early parliamentary elections to ensure fair and discreet elections in accordance with international standards and met. For the aspiration of the Iraqi street, as well as focusing on the draft law of the Federal Supreme Court and amending the draft law of the Commission for Human Rights.
According to the statement, Al-Kaabi stressed that the House of Representatives will, during the coming days, proceed to vote on the remaining articles of the Federal Supreme Court draft law to end the main obstacle to holding early elections in the country, especially since the constitution limits the right to certify election results in the Federal Court.
He stressed that early elections must be held on the scheduled date, as it is a popular demand, and that most political blocs are completely agreed to complete all preparations and requirements related to conducting them on the date set by the government on the tenth of October of this year, calling on the UN mission and All political forces to cooperate with the members of the Commission and to provide all possible facilities to it, regardless of political tendencies and in a way that guarantees the success of the electoral process in Iraq and its importance in implementing the required reforms to the people.
Plasschaert showed the mission's readiness to fully coordinate with the legislative and executive authorities and the committees in charge of the election file, and to harness all capabilities for everything that would make all stages of the electoral process succeed and entrust the commission in its tasks to complete the tasks assigned to them
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ARTICLE 4

Parliamentary integrity: Most corruption cases end with the dismissal of the official without an account

11/3/2021 18:44 •

[Baghdad-Where]
The Parliamentary Integrity Committee confirmed, on Thursday, that most of the major corruption files that were raised end with the dismissal of the official from his post without being accountable and no senior corrupt official was put behind bars.
A member of the Integrity Committee, Khaled Al-Jashami, said, "The citizen has great discontent, and any official perceives that he is corrupt because of the large size of files."

He added, "This will be reflected in the elections and will lead to the citizen’s reluctance to vote, and no party expects the citizen to be elected to him unless the corrupt party is held accountable for it."

Al-Jashaimi explained that "the citizen’s anger is due to the failure to hold accountable any corrupt person who is proven guilty of theft," noting that "most of the major corruption cases that are raised end up with interrogation and dismissal of the official without being accountable."
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ARTICLE 5

Parliamentary law excludes passing the laws of the Federal Court and the budget during Monday's session

11/3/2021 18:12 • 
[Baghdad_Where]
The Parliamentary Legal Committee, on Thursday, excluded the passage of the budget laws and the Federal Court next Monday, indicating that most of the controversial paragraphs remained unchanged and most of the representatives in the provinces went to their provinces.
A member of the Legal Committee, Salim Hamza, said that "the laws of the Federal Court and the Budget have been included to pass a session next Monday."

He added that "the points of contention regarding them regarding the Islamic jurisprudence paragraph, the representation of the components of the court's law and the region's share in the budget, negotiations have not made any progress regarding them."

Hamza explained that "most of the governorate MPs went to their governorates to come to the session on Monday, and the disagreements did not make progress, which excludes the passage of the two laws in next Monday's session."

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