Monday, February 8, 2021

WOTS MON FEB 8 21

 WOTS MON FEB 8 21



These are the articles I discussed on the podcast at https://anchor.fm/dashboard/episode/eq555b


Parliamentary Finance clarifies to the NRT when the budget will be settled and how long the current dollar price will remain

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The Parliamentary Finance Committee suggested, on Monday, that the federal budget for the current year will be decided next week to be ready for a vote on it inside the parliament, indicating that  the dollar exchange rate will remain as it is now, until another budget comes, whether it is supplementary or the 2022 budget.

Committee member, Jamal Cougar, told NRT Arabia today (February 8, 2021), "The government submitted the budget to the House of Representatives late and because it is controversial, it takes a long time, because the House of Representatives has the right to scrutinize all the details of the budget and see its merits."

Cougar added, "There are many points that still need to be decided, including the proportion of the share of the Kurdistan region that has not been agreed upon until now," noting that "the issue of the oil-producing provinces has been resolved through the establishment of the petrodollar fund and their dues will be deposited in it, whether in cash or Aini, by utilizing the equivalent and equal of petrodollars of oil to be sold directly and transferring its revenues into projects.

With regard to dollar prices in the Iraqi market, Cougar said, "The price of the dollar will remain as it is now until another budget, whether supplementary or 2022 budget, comes, then the price will be changed if the government has a large abundance that helps to overcome budget pressure expenditures, because the sudden change It will confuse the market and cause people to worry about the central bank's decisions. "

And he added, "The committee agreed with the Prime Minister, Mustafa Al-Kazemi, during its meeting with him and with a number of ministers to monitor the spending of the budget in light of the economic crisis that the country is going through through three axes, the first of which is before the vote, and after approval to issue instructions, and the last to implement this budget to be This is the complementary part of the government in controlling the flow of the exchange process. "


Canceling the currency auction, reducing borrowing, and “isolating” the central bank’s reserves ... the most important thing for hard currency in the 2021 budget

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Today, Monday, the Parliamentary Finance Committee revealed a tendency to cancel the currency auction, while indicating that the Central Bank's reserves will not be affected in the general budget for 2021.

The committee's reporter, Ahmed Al-Saffar, said in statements to the official agency and its subsidiary, Yass Iraq, that “when the draft budget is approved in the House of Representatives vote session, it becomes a binding law for the government and enforceable,” indicating that “the Ministry of Finance then issues instructions within a week or two to send to ministries to facilitate The budget execution process ”.

He added that "the budget deficit has been reduced from 71 trillion to 24 trillion only, as the lending scheme was deducting treasury transfers to the central bank 47 trillion, but we reduced it to only two trillion, if the price of a barrel of oil remained at 45 dollars," noting that "the deficit will disappear soon The government will have an abundance of money if the price of a barrel of oil remains high.

Al-Saffar stressed that "the Central Bank's reserves will not be affected at all in this budget, as we have reduced borrowing and canceled foreign loans."

The decision of the Finance Committee indicated that "there is a tendency to cancel the currency auction because it does not exist in all countries of the world except in Iraq," explaining that "the currency auction mechanism is incorrect, and hard currency is supposed to be given to actual importers, students, professors, and patients who travel outside the country and not to banks." “.

Al-Saffar indicated that "there is an increase in social care because large numbers of them were included, with the private sector participating in employing the unemployed," noting that "the budget carries a clear economic and social vision."

He stressed that "the committee will hold a meeting with the political blocs to bridge the gap in views and come up with the draft budget that can be passed easily under the parliament."

Regarding the dollar exchange rate, Al-Saffar pointed out that "the exchange rate is exclusively within the authority of the Central Bank and it is not possible to interfere in its work as it is responsible for the monetary system, the monetary mass, the exchange rate and the cash reserve."

Deputy: Parliament is waiting for the government green light to present the budget to vote

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Representative of the Al-Fateh Coalition, Mithaq Al-Hamidi, confirmed, Monday, that the Parliamentary Finance Committee delivered the final version of the budget bill to the government and that it is waiting for the green light from the latter to present it to the vote, likely the government will approve it and present it to vote at the end of this week.
Al-Hamidi said in a statement to / the information /, that “the context for presenting the budget for voting must be returned to the government for clarification and statement of opinion, and in the event of objections by the government, it will return it to the committee, and on the contrary, the green light will be given to present it to the vote.”
She added that "the government's response will not be delayed more than two days," likely "the government's approval and will be presented to the vote at the end of this week."
And Al-Hamidi indicated that "the final version included most of the demands of the provinces, including Basra Governorate."
The Prime Minister received yesterday during a joint meeting with the Parliamentary Finance Committee the final version of the draft budget with the amendments made to it by the House of Representatives. 

Representative of the World Bank: There is great support for the reform paper adopted by the government

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The Resident Representative of the World Bank in Iraq, Ramzi Numan, confirmed, on Monday, that the bank supports the Iraqi government in several directions to get out of the current economic crisis, and that there is great support for the white reform paper adopted by the government in order to get out of the crisis.

Numan said in an interview with "Al-Sabah" newspaper and followed by "Al-Iktissad News" that Iraqi society is a "youth society" that can rise in the country if its energies are properly and seriously invested, indicating that the experience and history of the World Bank to work with the government and people of Iraq extends to a long and rich history. Projects that have been jointly worked on.

He added that the World Bank is currently working more closely with the Iraqi government to confront emerging and accumulating crises that are added to the existing problems in Iraq, and the consequent decline in oil prices, protests, the Corona pandemic and its health, economic and social consequences, which have formed a great burden on the country.

He explained that these conditions are the worst since the year 2003 on a single economy that depends on oil, and there is a fact that all this left great burdens that were reflected in the ability of the Iraqi government to deal with emergency needs.

He pointed out that the World Bank has set up a very large financial portfolio file for the projects it implements in Iraq, and this portfolio is directed to several destinations, whether reconstruction projects for areas liberated from “ISIS” gangs or to face the social crises that have arisen from this matter, in addition to some other projects. Working on structural reforms in the economy.

And we are working hard with the government to approach solutions to emergency crises and keep pace with the reform white paper initiative put forward by Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kazemi.


WOTS starts below here:


The Markets:
Asian markets closed up NIK by 2.12% HSI by .11% SHANG by 1.03%
The UK markets are currently trading in the green from .34% to 1.03% 
OUr futures are currently trading in the green the DOW at 31177 up by .43% SNP at 3893 up by .33% NDX at 13637 up by .29%

Precious Metals:
Gold is green at 1820 Silver is green at 27.21 Copper 363 Aluminum is green at 2026 Platinum is green 1157 
Brent 60 WTi  57

Favorite Currencies Forex Quotes

SymbolBidAskHighLowOpenChangeTime
 USD/IQD  1430.3000  1480.0000 1457.9000 1457.9000 1457.9000  0.2000 20:00
 USD/VND  22596.9100  23260.2300 22966.2700 22965.6600 22965.6600  0.9500 20:00
 USD/CNY  6.4483  6.4503 6.4518 6.4475 6.4477  0.0007 21:11
 USD/KWD  0.3023  0.3033 0.3026 0.3026 0.3026  -0.0001 17:45
 GBP/USD  1.3777  1.3779 1.3783 1.3734 1.3737  0.0039 21:11
 USD/IRR  42000.0000  42210.0000 42097.5000 42097.5000 42097.5000  -914.4000 07:13
 USD/IDR  13992.0000  14006.0000 14008.0000 13983.0000 14002.0000  -3.0000 21:10

Things in the News:
NONE TODAY




Iraqi Articles:

For the first time in a year, oil is jumping over $ 60 a barrel

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Today, Monday, Brent oil price exceeded $ 60 a barrel for the first time since January 2020.

The value of Brent crude futures for the month of April increased by 0.77%, to reach $ 60.01 a barrel. March West Texas crude futures increased by 1.18% to $ 57.53.

The rise in oil prices is due to optimism about the recovery in market demand, after the expansion of vaccine campaigns against the Corona virus, around the world, which may lead to a decrease in the rates of "Covid-19" disease and the lifting of quarantine restrictions, and thus the return of demand for oil to pre-levels. Epidemic outbreak. 

An agreement to set a date for passing the 2021 budget bill

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Today, Sunday, an informed parliamentary source said that there is a preliminary agreement between the political forces to pass the 2021 budget bill next Saturday.

The source told "Yes Iraq", that "the political forces have agreed in principle to pass the 2021 budget bill, next Saturday."

He added, "The agreement came after reaching an agreement and consensus with the Kurdish forces regarding the region's share of the budget during the next two days."

The Presidency of the Council of Representatives announced earlier today that Al-Kazemi attended a meeting of the Parliamentary Finance Committee to discuss the draft budget law.

The council’s media department stated in a statement that “the Finance Committee is discussing the draft 2021 budget law in the presence of the Prime Minister and the ministers of finance, planning, oil, housing, reconstruction, municipalities, works, and the Secretary General of the Council of Ministers.”

On Sunday, the House of Representatives announced the most prominent contents of the parliamentary finance meeting, with Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kazemi, regarding the draft 2021 budget.

"The committee has rewritten the budget strategy according to a comprehensive economic vision, after what came from the government with a financial vision only," said a statement by the council’s media department.

He added, "The committee handed over a copy of the amendments it had made to the government’s budget," noting that "compressing expenditures and maximizing revenues was scientifically thoughtful and came after a meeting with most of the government ministers and more than 302 hosting of various state institutions."

The statement emphasized that "the meeting dealt with supporting the private sector and taking bold steps to address it and support industrial, agricultural and real estate banks to achieve comprehensive development in these sectors."

He pointed out that "the meeting exchanged views between the legislative and executive authorities to come up with a unified vision that is in the public interest," indicating that "the Finance Committee will directly supervise the implementation of the budget to ensure the implementation of its vision."

The statement pointed out that "the meeting discussed thinking outside the fund and with technical economic dimensions to convert ministries from consumers who burden the public treasury to productive ones."

The Iraqi budget. Doubling the petrodollar and allocating new financial to the capital's entrances

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The Iraqi parliament's finance committee decided On Sunday to add a new financial allocation for the rehabilitation of the entrances to the capital Baghdad.  

The parliamentary media department said in a statement to The Twilight News that the Finance Committee decided to add a financial allocation in the 2021 budget to rehabilitate the entrances to the capital Baghdad.

The statement said that the Finance Committee decided to double the petrodollar allocations in the 2021 budget to (one trillion) going to oil-producing provinces.

A parliamentary source told The Twilight News on Sunday that a preliminary agreement had been reached between all political forces to pass the 2021 budget bill early next week.

Earlier in the day, Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi held a meeting with members of the Parliamentary Finance Committee, during which the 2021 federal budget was discussed and the joint cooperation between the executive and legislative branches continued to be adopted.

The Kurdistan regional government delegation is due to return to Baghdad this week with the aim of resuming a fourth round of negotiations, which it said will be crucial in stabilizing the region's budget share.

The regional government delegation reached an agreement with the federal government to deliver 250,000 barrels of crude oil per day and half of the financial revenues generated from border crossings in exchange for Baghdad to give 12.67 percent of the budget to Kurdistan after the deduction of sovereign and ruling expenses, which was confirmed by the draft budget bill, but the delegation, in its last visit, was informed that the agreement was no longer valid.

Representative of the World Bank: There is great support for the reform paper adopted by the government

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The Resident Representative of the World Bank in Iraq, Ramzi Numan, confirmed, on Monday, that the bank supports the Iraqi government in several directions to get out of the current economic crisis, and that there is great support for the white reform paper adopted by the government in order to get out of the crisis.

Numan said in an interview with "Al-Sabah" newspaper and followed by "Al-Iktissad News" that Iraqi society is a "youth society" that can rise in the country if its energies are properly and seriously invested, indicating that the experience and history of the World Bank to work with the government and people of Iraq extends to a long and rich history. Projects that have been jointly worked on.

He added that the World Bank is currently working more closely with the Iraqi government to confront emerging and accumulating crises that are added to the existing problems in Iraq, and the consequent decline in oil prices, protests, the Corona pandemic and its health, economic and social consequences, which have formed a great burden on the country.

He explained that these conditions are the worst since the year 2003 on a single economy that depends on oil, and there is a fact that all this left great burdens that were reflected in the ability of the Iraqi government to deal with emergency needs.

He pointed out that the World Bank has set up a very large financial portfolio file for the projects it implements in Iraq, and this portfolio is directed to several destinations, whether reconstruction projects for areas liberated from “ISIS” gangs or to face the social crises that have arisen from this matter, in addition to some other projects. Working on structural reforms in the economy.

And we are working hard with the government to approach solutions to emergency crises and keep pace with the reform white paper initiative put forward by Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kazemi

CBI Update:  Just  a note:

They have been having auctions and the ISX has been trading regularly; the sites just don't update in time to put the information in this report, unless it is 
here.   

Click on the link above for the latest update.

The CBI for rate is 1460

The currency auction For  February 8, 2021 total sales amount $ 31,001,000

including   $0. CASH 

ISX Update:   

www.isx-iq.net/

Shares Traded: not updated for today
Value Traded: not updated for today 

https://www.dinarguru.com/

2-8-2021   Newshound/Intel Guru RVAlready   The CBI gave a rate to the government last week...Parliament is now saying the exchange rate will not change in this budget...The parliament is not allowed to affect the rate. We just need a vote and a final budget...Iraq dispensing a great load of bull in news stories today. We’ll see what happens.

2-8-2021   Newshound Guru MilitiaMan   Stock exchanges that need to be on the same page and able to clear trades with not only stock but one another's respective currencies, as they need to communicate. The timing of all this is not by a coincidence in my opinion it is by design. The platforms are in place and now will apparently start to connect in real international time and pricing. BUNA imo requires article 8 compliance with the IMF.

2-8-2021   Newshound Guru Jeff   The World Bank and the IMF they started showing a large presence with Iraq around December.  Why December?  They're working with Iraq to bring forth the rate change.  It's that simple.  They're using the last quart of Iraq's 2020 fiscal year which is January through March to set the stage for the rate change.  That's why they devalued the currency on December 20th...that was nothing more than a 90-day tool to reduce the note count physically within the country of Iraq.

2-8-2021   Intel Guru MarkZ  [via PDK]  ...there were a few small articles coming out of Iraq this weekend as they prepare for their new rate. This has been going on about 5 weeks as they ramped up news on the white papers, the budget, and impending value change... 

2-8-2021   Newshound Guru Jeff   This news is red hot.  Article:   "The World Bank: Iraq is experiencing its worst crisis since 2003...We put a large financial portfolio for it - Urgent"   ...The World Bank just came out this morning releasing an article screaming at us that Iraq is about to change the rate...the World Bank and the IMF are working with Iraq to bring forth the rate change.   It's over and done.  All you're waiting on is the fiscal year [March 2021]...this is red hot news!
2-7-2021   Newshound Guru MilitiaMan   ...BUNA is to go live on the TENTH.. The CBI has a new digital system they launched. The CBI states they have approved the new exchange rates. Well the first one was done already, the next rate change is to yet come out. But the CBI states they have approved the exchange rates. The BUNA system by charter will not interconnect to a Non - Article 8 Compliant Currency i am being told. So, the next move is imo to be Article 8 compliant. If they hold to the time frame of the TENTH, then this next week is an interesting one imo...

2-7-2021   Newshound Guru MilitiaMan  Article quote:  "The Central Bank of Iraq had previously signed an agreement with a number of local banks and completed the technical requirements to participate in the project in coordination with the Arab Monetary Fund,"  Get ready for digital currency...Digital currency will need to be able to communicate on a level playing field. It is said they have this next week to be interconnected with the BUNA system that the AMF has launched for clearing and settlements. They say the TENTH!!!

2-7-2021   Newshound Guru MilitiaMan   The can kicking of the 2021 Budget is by design.. imo.. It appears they have had to massage the timing to fit in line with many things and the hurry up and wait from parliament looks to be to me that they were in a hurry, yet, now they have to sit tight for the moment with having completed all but the best for last... imo..

2-7-2021   Intel Guru Footforward   ...do not be alarmed if they don't show the rate in the budget.
2-6-2021   Newshound Guru MilitiaMan   So, it appears with all the talk of the 2021 Budget and the Kurds, etc., we can see that the IMF, WB, G7, UST, ITB, AMF, GCC, US State Department, etc., etc., have all had a hand in supporting the effort to get Iraq up out and into the private sector. [It] must be held tight to the chest until the right time to expose the real effective exchange rate to the world. But, if the AMF has anything for us to compare to, we know they are pegged to the USD by virtue of the IMF SDR basket. We know how they express that value too. It is clear as a bell. We are in a vey good place at this stage... imo.. [post 2 of 2]

2-6-2021   Newshound Guru MilitiaMan  "Economic: Parliament cannot change oil prices and the dollar in the 2021 budget"  So they have it now set in stone. The Central Bank approved the new exchange rates and they are not to be challenged by the Parliament, as it is is out of their hands. The exchange rates are not to be amended...They were told by the IMF that they would change the rate in the then current fiscal year and they did it. They were also told by the IMF and the US FED that they could in the IMFs case change it again in early 2021 whereas, the FED just made it perfectly clear that countries can and do "Devalue and Revalue" their currencies.  [post 1 of 2....stay tun



Catnip's Corner:
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ARTICLE 1-A (from PM Kadhimi's website; posted only on Arabic side, not on English side)

Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kazemi meets representatives of peasant associations and farmers in Basra and directs several measures 

The Prime Minister, Mr. Mustafa Al-Kazemi, met today, Sunday, with the President of the General Union of Peasant Associations and a group of representatives of peasants and farmers from Basra Governorate.

His Excellency listened to a comprehensive presentation of the problems and obstacles facing the marketing and production of local agricultural crops, during the meeting which was attended by the Minister of Agriculture and the Minister of Oil.

The Prime Minister directed the competent authorities and urgently to form a team headed by the National Security Agency, the Directorate of Combating Economic Crime, and representatives of the directorates of agriculture and the Union of Peasant Associations to monitor and control smuggled agricultural crops.

The team is assigned the task of inspecting marketing centers to control smuggled goods, as well as referring the smugglers and those involved to the judiciary and destroying the smuggled quantities that are being seized.

His Excellency stated that these measures aim to preserve and support the local product, stressing that decisions in this regard will be issued very soon by the Council of Ministers in order to support farmers and their production, and for the sake of relying on the agricultural calendar in determining the need for agricultural products permitted to be imported in a manner that does not harm local production.

Media Office of the Prime Minister
7-Feb-2021

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ARTICLE 1-B (from PM Kadhimi's website; posted only on Arabic side, not on English side)

Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kazemi holds a meeting with the Parliamentary Finance Committee 

The Prime Minister, Mr. Mustafa Al-Kazemi, held a meeting today, Sunday, with members of the Parliamentary Finance Committee, during which the federal budget for 2021 was discussed, and the joint cooperation between the executive and legislative authorities was continued, with the aim of expediting its approval.

The Prime Minister affirmed that the financial budget that the government sent its draft earlier aims at financial and economic reform and support for vital sectors, which would address a large part of the problems of the Iraqi economy that it has been suffering from for decades.

His Excellency also indicated the importance of investing in the recent increase in oil prices in a manner that contributes to reducing the burden on the citizen in the budget copy that is submitted to the vote in Parliament.

He stressed the need to activate the mechanisms of automation and digital dealing, and also to activate the role of the Federal Service Council, in the course of economic reform.

Mr. Al-Kazemi warned, on the necessity of adopting the principle of justice in distributing wealth among all regions of Iraq, in accordance with the principles of the constitution, and not to include political disputes in the file of citizen's sustenance and the level of services provided to him.

And Mr. Al-Kazemi indicated that the country is currently facing many challenges, and we are working hard to reform the current situation and put the Iraqi economy on the right track, and it comes as an implementation of the government program that the House of Representatives voted on and also included in the government white paper.

It was agreed to intensify the holding of sessions between the executive and legislative authorities, to ensure the approval of a reform budget that preserves the rights of the citizen, and as soon as possible, and that the work of the legislative and executive authorities be complementary, in the spirit of one team, seeking to advance the historical responsibility, to get the country out of the current situation.

Media Office of the Prime Minister
7-Feb-2021

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ARTICLE 2 (from Government of Iraq twitter account)

The Coronavirus pandemic presented educators and students with unprecedented challenges. In this episode of #DedicatedToService #والنعم_منك, we meet Mustafa Al-Tamimi, a university lecture, to find out how he and his students surmounted these challenges.

“We are responsible for future generations and must be able to deal with unexpected challenges and unfolding circumstances” says university lecturer Mustafa Al-Tamimi who features in the next episode of #DedicatedToService #والنعم_منك.

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ARTICLE 3

Parliamentary Finance reveals to Al-Kazemi its budget adjustments and its most prominent observations

 2/7/2021 15:13 • 
[Baghdad-Where]
The Parliamentary Finance Committee revealed its most prominent observations regarding the draft federal budget law for 2021.
A statement by the committee stated that “today, Sunday, under the chairmanship of the committee’s chairman, Haitham al-Jubouri, and the attendance of the members, it held its forty-second meeting to discuss the draft federal budget bill for 2021, in the presence of Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kazimiyah, the ministers of finance, planning, oil, housing, reconstruction, municipalities and works, and the Secretary General of the Council of Ministers.
The statement quoted Al-Jubouri as saying, "The work on the budget was based on five main axes, namely reducing the deficit rate and reducing expenditures in a scientific and thoughtful manner and after a thorough study that followed a meeting with most of the ministers and the holding of nearly 302 hosting at various levels, as well as maximizing oil and non-oil revenues." .
The Finance Committee explained that "the budget that came from the government was absent from the economic character and took into account the financial aspect only, so the committee rewrote the budget strategy and made fundamental changes in it to ensure treatment of the private sector and take bold steps in this aspect and support the industrial, agricultural and real estate banks, as the budget contained On a great devotion to centralization, so the committee worked to lift these restrictions. "
For his part, according to the statement, Al-Kazemi praised the committee’s effort as it continues to work on discussing the budget, affirming his support for the committee as it faces a historic responsibility and pressure on it until the law that the Iraqi street awaits are approved.
The statement pointed out that the interventions of the members of the committee "focused on the importance of its direct supervision of the implementation of the budget to ensure its implementation in accordance with the vision it adopted and not to disrupt some paragraphs. It also took into account the development of the Iraqi economy and support its arms, including the private sector, industry and agriculture, as well as the need to work in an integrated manner between the two legislative authorities. Executive and thinking outside the fund and with economic dimensions transform government institutions from consumers who burden the public treasury to productive '
ones. "

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ARTICLE 4

The real estate bank begins launching housing loans with a repayment period of 20 years and in two types

6/2/2021 11:52
[Baghdad-Where]
The real estate bank launched, on Friday, housing loans, with a repayment period of up to 20 years.
"The real estate bank will, as of next week, launch a loan at the initiative of the Central Bank of Iraq, a loan to purchase housing units, and they are of two types," the bank's media said in a statement.
The statement added, "The loan to purchase housing units will be at the amount of 100 million dinars," noting that "the loan for the purchase of housing units within investment housing complexes is at an amount of 125 million dinars, and the repayment period is 20 years."
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ARTICLE 5

The Kurdistan Patriotic: We support the fairness and justice balancing act

6/2/2021 16:19 
[Baghdad-Where]
Ala Talabani, head of the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan Parliamentary Bloc, expressed her support for the draft general budget bill, on the condition that it achieves justice and fairness for all Iraqis without exception.
Talabani said in a tweet on the Twitter platform: "We support and vote for a budget law that achieves fairness and justice for every Iraqi citizen without discrimination, and reconsiders the distribution of the state's oil and non-oil resources in accordance with the constitution."
It called for "expediting the legislation of the oil and gas law, which has been suspended" from legislation since 2007
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