WOTS MON MAY 17 21
These are the articles I discussed on the My FX Buddies Podcast Today
Kurdish delegation to visit Baghdad tomorrow, Wednesday
Member of the Parliament of the Kurdistan Region, Othman Karim, confirmed, on Monday, that a Kurdish delegation will arrive in Baghdad tomorrow, Wednesday, to discuss the latest technical developments regarding the budget agreement.
Karim said in a statement to "the information", "The delegation is likely to arrive in Baghdad next Wednesday and include a group of ministers and will meet with specialists in the federal government for an understanding on the issue of the budget and the delivery of oil to Baghdad."
He added that "despite the vote on the region’s share in the budget, the Kurdistan’s share of the budget has not yet been sent due to lack of agreement on the technical points of the budget agreement, but overall, the issue is still complicated."
The Parliamentary Finance Committee confirmed, yesterday, Sunday, that the Kurdish delegation, which will visit Baghdad soon, will end the technical dispute between Baghdad and Erbil regarding oil prices.
Iraq is on the verge of extreme heat waves
Weather forecast, Sadiq Attiyah said, on Saturday, that expectations indicate that Iraq is on the verge of severe heat waves during the summer due to the lack of rain during the winter season.
Attia said in a post on social media that the weather this week indicates a gradual rise in temperatures, to reach its peak next Thursday.
He added, "We are on the threshold of welcoming the summer climate season, and future expectations indicate that heat waves will be very hot at expected intervals during the months of July and August, with repeated occurrence of dust storms during the day from mid-June to the end of July."
And he added that this is due "to the activity of the surface winds and the drought of the soil resulting from the scarcity of rain in the 20/21 season, which resulted in soil disintegration and the lack of vegetation cover, particularly from the center, west and south of the country."
Parliamentary Finance: $ 15 a barrel of oil surplus from the price determined by the budget law
The Parliamentary Finance Committee revealed, on Saturday, that there is a surplus in the price of a barrel of oil calculated in the General Budget Law for the current year.
Committee member Jamal Cougar told Shafaq News; “Oil prices are close to $ 65 per barrel, but the price calculated in the budget law for the current year is $ 45.”
He added that “the surplus in oil prices is about $ 15 per barrel,” noting that “this money goes to oil expenditures, including service contracts and licensing rounds, which are estimated at 16 trillion dinars.”
And Couger said, “The net remainder of a barrel of oil is $ 45, which is actually calculated in the budget law.”
Member of Parliamentary Finance: The street will be inflamed due to the continuing repercussions of the dollar price increase
A member of the Parliamentary Finance Committee, Thamer Theban, confirmed today, Friday, that the continuing repercussions of raising the price of the dollar will make the Iraqi street inflamed, describing it as a floundering policy.
Theban said, "The central bank’s flawed policy regarding raising the sale of the dollar considered it a crime against our people, especially those with limited income."
He added that "there are mafias of corruption was behind the support of the policy of raising the selling price of the dollar against the dinar , " noting that " the central bank does not need to raise the price of the dollar but needs to control and accounting banks banking and companies that manipulate money laundering this to address the serious phenomenon."
He pointed Zeban That "the policy of the Central Bank will make the Iraqi street fiery as a result of the continuing repercussions of the exchange rate hike."
Iraq displaces Saudi Arabia from the top oil-importing countries to India
India's imports of Saudi oil have decreased significantly, while Iraq has the lion’s share of India’s oil imports, despite the recent reduction of its oil imports in general as a result of the repercussions of the Corona epidemic, as it decreased in February by 18.3% on an annual basis to 15.24 million Tons (106 million and 860 thousand barrels), registering the largest annual decline since October 2020.
India also decided to diversify its sources of oil after it accused OPEC of raising oil prices due to the cuts it had recently made, to which the Saudi Energy Minister would respond by using the stored oil it had bought. At low prices during the low prices at the beginning of last year 2020
And as a result; The Indian Ministry of Oil urged local refiners to diversify their crude resources and reduce dependence on the Middle East, which reduced dependence on the Middle East from 64% of imports in 2016 to 60% in 2019.
As a result, India's oil imports from Saudi Arabia decreased by 42%. % During the month of February to 445,200 thousand barrels per day, while the share of the United States increased to 545,300 thousand barrels per day, making it the second largest oil exporter to the country after Iraq, which was able to ship 867,500 thousand barrels per day.
Parliamentary Finance talks about the continuation of the current exchange rate of the dollar for the next four years
On Sunday, the Parliamentary Finance Committee described setting up a schedule of the dollar’s exchange rate as it is now for four years as “illogical”.
A member of the committee, MP Muhammad al-Shabaki, said in a statement, to Al-Maalouma Agency, that “setting up a four-year schedule to restore the dollar’s exchange rates to normal is illogical and contains many inaccuracies,” indicating that “the scheduling of exchange rates is not subject to monetary policy.”
He added, "The increase in exchange rates was part of the government's monetary policy to fill the deficit in some economic areas, and this matter cannot be generalized to the rest of the years."
He pointed out that "determining the exchange rates and monetary policy shall be annually according to the needs of the state."
The deterioration of security is hampering Iraq's investments
Iraqi MPs have warned of the impact of the security decline in the country on the government's plans in the investment sector and attracting foreign and Arab companies, stressing that the threat is no longer limited to ISIS attacks only, but that armed militias impose their hegemony in a number of cities, especially Baghdad, northern and western Iraq. Compound investor fears.
Parliamentarian, Nada Shaker Jawdat, said, "Although Iraq is a promising country for investment, and it needs to advance in the health, educational and other sectors in all, the absence of the security aspect led to the reluctance of investors to work in it." She explained in a statement to a local radio, that "the repeated targeting and lack of control over the internal situation, the violation of external sovereignty and military parades, in addition to the language of threat and intimidation (referring to the armed factions), represented clear messages that led to a decline in investment in Iraq."
The MP was surprised that the government did not disclose the parties behind the missile strikes, stressing that "it is unreasonable that the government has not yet determined the perpetrator and the reasons for the continued firing of rockets at vital and important places. In addition to this, ISIS activity on the outskirts of a number of governorates", considering that All these factors negatively impacted companies ’investment in Iraq.
The decline in investment is not only dependent on the security file, but the armed parties and factions also affect the file, through their interference in the work of companies and their extortion, in order to obtain financial gains.
In turn, a member of the Parliamentary Economic and Investment Committee, Ali Saadoun, confirmed to Al-Arabi Al-Jadeed that "the economic situation is directly related to the security file, while capital, investors and companies are not ready to enter Iraq if there is no appropriate security environment," pointing out that "that" "It requires the government to create the appropriate conditions to protect companies and prevent bargaining and extortion, which is exposed to it by political parties and armed groups, as many companies left Iraq because of the harassment."
He pointed out that "the retreat of the security file is not borne by the government alone, but by political forces and parties, and dealing with the failure of the security aspect, the lack of weapons, the judiciary, and the remnants of ISIS, needs everyone's cooperation with the government."
However, the “Fatah Alliance”, the political wing of the “Popular Mobilization Forces,” held the government responsible for this security retreat and its negative effects on the investment file in the country.
The deputy of the coalition, Abbas Al-Zamili, told Al-Arabi Al-Jadeed that "the impact of harassment against investment companies in Iraq is clear in the investment file. The government is supposed to provide a safe environment for investors and investment companies, and to support that, but unfortunately there is government neglect of this file." ".
He added, "The security file is part of the harassment that investors are subjected to, and it is a lot of harassment, including corruption, extortion and murderous red tape, as many projects were delayed and disrupted because of that.
Below here is the regular WOTS "Word on the Street" daily report for the day:
The exchange rates of the dollar and some currencies as well as precious metals in the local markets on Monday (May 17, 2021), according to the monitoring of specialists.
Baghdad - Al-Kifah Stock Exchange
148,500
....
Price in exchange (approximate)
148,000
149,000
——————————
Basra / Stock Exchange
148,500
——————————
Erbil / Bursa
148,575
Favorite Currencies Forex Quotes
Symbol | Bid | Ask | High | Low | Open | Change | Time |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
USD/IQD | | | 1457.9000 | 1455.3000 | 1455.3000 | | 10:47 |
USD/VND | | | 23047.7800 | 23047.2900 | 23047.7800 | | 22:47 |
USD/CNY | | | 6.4425 | 6.4347 | 6.4361 | | 05:20 |
USD/KWD | | | 0.3004 | 0.3004 | 0.3004 | | 05:05 |
GBP/USD | | | 1.4119 | 1.4078 | 1.4096 | | 05:20 |
USD/IRR | | | 42097.5000 | 42097.5000 | 42097.5000 | | 00:00 |
USD/IDR | | | 14315.0000 | 14198.0000 | 14198.0000 | | 05:20 |
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Oil prices rise with tensions in the Middle East
On Monday, oil prices rose as a result of instability in the Middle East region after Israel launched a major attack on the Gaza Strip, which threatens its expansion and its impact on the surrounding oil-rich areas, but a new wave of Covid-19 restrictions in Asia raises fears Reduced demand.
Tensions increased in the Middle East after Israel launched a major attack on the Palestinian Hamas organization, which heralds a war that could expand in the region and threaten foreign companies operating in the oil fields in the region and stop them from working.
However, the recovery of the main US pipeline network from supply concerns and a new wave of Covid-19 restrictions in Asia has brought back fears of reduced demand.
Brent crude futures rose 5 cents, or 0.08%, to $ 68.77 a barrel by 05:36 GMT, and WTI rose 7 cents, or 0.1%, to $ 65.42
The two decades jumped about 2.5% on Friday and were able to make slight gains last week, marking the third consecutive weekly increase.
Investors have remained wary about concerns that the fast-spreading coronavirus, first detected in India, will spread to other countries.
Some Indian states said on Sunday they would extend COVID-19 lockdowns to help contain the pandemic that has killed more than 270,000 people in the country. There are concerns that the nation's annual budget may dwindle as it fails to take into account the crippling second wave of COVID-19 infections.
Meanwhile, US energy companies added oil and natural gas rigs for the third week in a row as higher crude prices pushed some drilling workers back to the well plate.
The dollar dilemma halts reconstruction in al-Anbar: rabble remains until further notice
Soaring prices of building materials have halted the reconstruction of the war-ravaged houses in al-Anbar governorate, west of Iraq.
Al-Anbar and several other governorates in the north and west of the country were the arenas of fierce battles between Iraqi forces and ISIS militants over three years (2014-2017). That war destroyed a large proportion of infrastructure and houses.
Since ISIS's defeat in 2017, Al-Anbar has been undergoing active reconstruction, but the ever-rising building materials' prices have hindered many citizens' plans to rebuild their houses.
Dollar and dinar dilemma
"The high prices of construction materials have prompted citizens, especially low- and middle-income people, to stop rehabilitating and building their homes," said Moayed Al-Dulaimi, Fallujah's administrator.
"This also interrupted their return to their territories, which further complicated the process of closing the displaced persons' file," Al-Dulaimi stated to Shafaq News agency, calling for "The intervention of local authorities and the Ministry of Industry to provide construction materials at affordable prices or provide them in installments so that citizens whose houses were destroyed during the war against ISIS can leave the displacement camps and return to their houses."
The Central Bank of Iraq devalued the local currency, the dinar, against the U.S. dollar late last year from 1,190 dinars per dollar to 1,450 dinars.
Projects suspended for further notice
"I stopped rebuilding my house more than four months ago because the prices of building materials have risen dramatically. I can no longer continue to rehabilitate my house, which was destroyed during the war against ISIS," said Mahmoud Munif, "The government wants us to return to our territories. Yet, it has neither been able to compensate us for our destroyed homes nor have it helped us rehabilitate them. Instead, the government has reduced the price of the dinar as well as our salaries. Hence, we can no longer even make a living, so how can we build our homes?"
The citizen Talal Obeid said, "I prefer to stay in a rented house than build my house at twice the previous price. I cannot bear debts other than the amounts I borrowed from my relatives to pay the rent of the house I currently live in."
He continued, "Five years have passed during which the government repeatedly promised to pay compensation for our homes that have been destroyed by the war, the sole underprivileged of which is the marginalized poor citizen."
"After all that, the government increased the dollar's price, which raised the price of construction materials, food, and medicines. We no longer hope that this government will give us any service, as it stole everything," Talal added.
Security is the key to progress
Industry Minister, Manhal Al-Khabbaz, stated, "The situation is almost back to normal in Al-Anbar. I think safety is the most important way to attract funding, industries, trade, and all other economic activities."
He continued, "Many factors control the issue of competition, the first of which is the availability of raw materials, prices of fuel and electricity, the provision of manpower, and others."
"We strive to provide the best for Al-Anbar's people and Iraq in general. Now the citizen, who was looking for the cheapest, is looking for the best. Iraqi products are the best, but it needs proper marketing and preparations to deliver it appropriately," Al-Khabbaz added.
Reviving national industry is the only solution
"The rise in the dollar has had a significant impact on the construction materials prices. That has led citizens to give up constructing and rehabilitating their houses after they were destroyed during the war against ISIS. That also affected the process of returning the displaced people," said economist Salman Al-Jumaili.
He added, "The majority of the construction materials is imported and depends entirely on the dollar prices."
"To solve that, national production must be activated, especially since Iraq owns many suspended factories that produce building material. The concerned authorities must revive them, particularly the cement, bricks, and glass factories," Al-Jumaili concluded.
Will the 2021 budget be able to restore economic growth?
CBI Update: Just a note:
including $0. CASH
ISX Update: Shares Traded: not updated for todayValue Traded: not updated for today
5-16-2021 Newshound/Intel Guru Petra The price of oil is on the rise. This only bodes well for all the Gulf cooperating countries, OPEC and of course it's going to impact Iraq as well because they are making money hand over fist right now with these higher oil prices. That only drives success and strength in the currency itself. It's all good. I'm excited...
5-16-2021 Intel Guru Frank26 When they de-peg from the American dollar they will automatically become compliant with the Swift Codes, with Article 8, which will allow them to say goodbye to the Swift Code and go into the QFS. That is what we are looking for. That is the definition of Article 8...
5-16-2021 Intel/Newshound Guru Holly ...The gcr-Rv are progressing and we await for the final release of Dubai funds to kick off the rv. Everything is funded, audits done and compliance completed, we are just waiting for the release. I would expect that anytime between now and the 20th...
5-16-2021 Newshound Guru MilitiaMan The things before us now are clearly showing a transformation. They have some many things done that have never been done before. The brass ring is to be ready for the taking imo once they give the mechanism for the 2021 activation to pay the retro active payments...When bankers talk compliance, they are serious about it... I seriously like where we are now. By far better place than ever before from what I now see. Amazing things ahead...
5-15-2021 Newshound Guru MilitiaMan ..."According to the information, the salaries of employees and the region’s share in the budget law will be launched by the Federal Ministry of Finance after the Eid al-Fitr holiday." They told us the mechanism was agreed on and was to be dealt with immediately after Eid Al-Fitr…Lets hope they have the international mechanism ready to roll out!!
5-15-2021 Newshound/Intel Guru Mnt Goat Article: " China agreement with Iraq will be activated soon, while noting that the annual volume of exchange between the two countries has reached 30 billion dollars." this is very important as China needs the Iraqi oil real bad. This is a geopolitical move on China ’s part...
5-15-2021 Intel Guru Frank26 All I know is that they need to lift all of the restrictions. They need to announce they are article 8 which is lifting all the restrictions. This is the key to our investment. Not the rate increase. The international status of Article VIII to be announced. The de-pegging of the American dollar so that then they are free. They're liberated...
5-15-2021 Newshound/Intel Guru Petra They came out with some matrix that I was frankly kind of surprised. They said 99% of the citizens in Iraq now have cellphones. That's massive. And over 75% of them are connected to the internet. Put that in your about digitization and being able to safely and securely transfer money both internally and externally...
5-15-2021 Newshound Guru Kaperoni If the Iraqi dinar is ever going to appreciate in value it will be as the IMF says..."a predictable and gradual appreciation."...
5-15-2021 Intel Guru MarkZ [Are we going to get heavily taxed?] That does not make sense to me….I am told its already covered in the exchange… [Consult with your tax professional at the appropriate time.]
5-15-2021 Intel Guru Frank26 They [Iraq] has to have liberalization of movement...they need a free market - a liberalization of their currency is important for the their currency to be viable. They need to be Article VIII - it's not that they have to raise the value of their currency. That's nice and good but they need to announce that they're article VIII and international status. All of the articles cast a long shadow that proves that they are...they have to just announce it. And while they do that raise the value of your currency too. The goal is 1 to 1 in-country and out-country and then float it...international status will equal an increase in their value.
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