Small denominations of the Iraqi dinar reveal a negative indicator of the money supply... An expert explains with figures.
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An economic expert revealed on Friday (July 10, 2026) that there was a significant increase in the money supply during the period from April 2022 to April 2026, according to data from the Central Bank of Iraq.
Manar Al-Obaidi said in a post on his Facebook page, which was followed by “Baghdad Today”, that the monetary mass for the aforementioned period “recorded an increase of more than 38 percent, bringing the total from 81.5 trillion dinars to 113 trillion dinars.”
He explained that “the total number of banknotes issued increased from about 5.8 trillion banknotes in 2022 to 6.3 trillion banknotes in 2026, which led to an increase in the per capita share of banknotes from 120 banknotes to 141 banknotes, raising their total value per person from 1.8 million dinars to 2.51 million dinars.”
According to Al-Obaidi, the analyses showed “the distribution of the cash increase according to categories, as the 50,000 dinar category acquired the largest share, as the number of issued notes jumped from 319 million notes in 2022 to more than 941 million notes in 2026, so that the citizen’s share of it increased from 7.1 notes to 21 notes, while the 25,000 dinar category recorded a slight growth from 2 billion notes to 2.1 billion notes.”
He pointed out that “the middle denominations witnessed a decline in issuance, as the number of 10,000 dinar notes decreased from 935 million notes to 878 million notes, and the 5,000 dinar note recorded the largest decrease, declining from 954 million notes in 2022 to 691 million notes in 2026.”
As for the smaller denominations, Al-Obaidi pointed out that “the 1000 dinar denomination increased from 718 million notes to 775 million notes, and the 250 dinar denomination grew from 795 million notes to 818 million notes, while the 500 dinar denomination decreased slightly from 147 million notes to 145.4 million notes.”
He noted that this “uneven growth and the prominence of large groups is an economic indicator that most of this money is going towards hoarding outside the banking system instead of circulating in the economy,” stressing that “the failure of small groups to grow in proportion to the size of the total money supply reflects a slowdown in real economic activity and daily trade, which necessitates a comprehensive review of monetary policy and currency issuance mechanisms that take into account the real market need and encourage the integration of cash into the economic and banking system.”
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