WOTS WED JUN 23 21
Baghdad-Erbil controversial funding agreement: What does Al-Kadhimi seek?
No My FX Buddies Podcast today
The dollar exchange rates in the local markets, for Wednesday, (June 23, 2021), according to the monitoring of specialists.
Baghdad - Stock Exchange of struggle الكف
147,550
....
Exchange rate (approximate)
147,000
148,000
————————————————-
Erbil / Bursa
147,750
———————————
Basra / Bursa
147,700
-——————————-
Mosul / Bursa
147,800
——————————-
Najaf / Bursa
147,650
Favorite Currencies Forex Quotes
Symbol | Bid | Ask | High | Low | Open | Change | Time |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
USD/IQD | | | 1457.2000 | 1456.9000 | 1456.9000 | | 12:03 |
USD/VND | | | 23004.4600 | 23001.5800 | 23001.5800 | | 02:42 |
USD/CNY | | | 6.4887 | 6.4733 | 6.4805 | | 05:23 |
USD/KWD | | | 0.3009 | 0.3007 | 0.3009 | | 04:37 |
GBP/USD | | | 1.3987 | 1.3923 | 1.3947 | | 05:23 |
USD/IRR | | | 42097.5000 | 42097.5000 | 42097.5000 | | 00:00 |
USD/IDR | | | 14484.0000 | 14423.0000 | 14446.0000 | | 05:21 |
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Oil rises on sharp decline in US inventories
Oil prices rose on Wednesday after industry data showed that US crude inventories fell more than expected, bolstering views of a tightening balance between supply and demand as land and air travel rebounded in Europe and North America.
US West Texas Intermediate crude futures jumped 33 cents, or 0.5 percent, to $73.18 a barrel at 05:07 GMT, after falling 60 cents on Tuesday.
Brent crude futures jumped 42 cents, or 0.6 percent, to $75.23 a barrel, after losing 9 cents on Tuesday.
The American Petroleum Institute industry group reported that crude oil inventories fell by 7.2 million barrels for the week ending June 18, according to two market sources.
All eyes are on what the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, known as OPEC+, plan to do when they meet on July 1 as they gauge the recovery in demand.
The US dollar's retreat from a two-month high hit late last week also helped support oil prices, as the dollar's weakness made oil less expensive relative to other currencies.
Counselor Mazhar Saleh: The statements that attacked our clarification on currency zeros... are politicized and unprofessional
Dr. Mazhar Salih, Economic Adviser to Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kazemi, said on Wednesday, June 23, 2021 that his statement about the project to delete zeros represents a purely economic point of view that included a technical explanation of the issue of the history of the multiplication of zeros in the Iraqi currency during the siege. the past
In response to statements criticizing his point of view, Saleh considered that they are issued by politicized parties and trolling for words, adding: I have spent seventy-three years of my life and I still face this type of human being, considering that people are enemies of what they are truly ignorant of
Saleh considered that these statements, which claimed that talking about the deletion of zeros, caused a recession in the Iraqi market, politicized and .issued by people who call themselves politicians and independents
And the appearance of Muhammad Salih set two conditions for deleting 3 zeros from the currency, while stressing that the deletion option is proposed as .part of the strategies for reforming the currency and cash payments system in Iraq
Saleh told the Obelisk, "The Central Bank of Iraq developed a project to delete three zeros from the Iraqi currency in order to reform the cash payments system, which has become burdened with the insomnia of the economic blockade imposed in the nineties of the last century, and put it into research and study a long time ago, after looking at about 54 An international experience from the end of the Second World War until the second decade of the twenty-first century, which took place in various countries of the world, in which the monetary payment systems were reformed and made to work more .efficiently, the last of which was the Islamic Republic of Iran and before that, Turkey
He added that "the phenomenon of increasing zeros in the monetary unit or adding zeros to a single monetary unit usually comes due to the exposure of economies to unruly waves of inflation or continuous sharp rises for years in the price level due to wars, sieges and conflicts, which lead to financing the . ".deficit of government budgets through cash issuance
Saleh believed that "the hyperinflation that hit the Iraqi economy in the nineties of the last century added three numbers to the Iraqi monetary unit (that is, one dinar became equal to one thousand dinars, and ten dinars became ten thousand dinars, and so on for the rest of the categories), while the small categories disappeared from circulation completely, but rather Every 250 fils became equal to 250 dinars, and it was considered the smallest .monetary unit in circulation today, which raised the cost of micro-transactions that mostly affect the poor
He concluded by saying, "The project to delete zeros in Iraq is still technically prepared by the Central Bank of Iraq, which is the official sectoral authority and the monetary authority concerned with this matter and in cooperation with all three state agencies and authorities, but the project is postponed at .the present time until the appropriate conditions are achieved and remains part of the currency system reform strategies. and cash payments in Iraq
Analysis - Baghdad-Erbil controversial funding agreement: What does Al-Kadhimi seek?
In a controversial decision that drew opposition from finance minister, the Iraqi government decided on June 16 to pay $200 billion dinars ($14 million) monthly to the Kurdish Regional Government (KRG) to finance payments to state workers in the autonomous region. The decision was put to vote at a government meeting and the ministers unanimously approved the funding.
AhlulBayt News Agency (ABNA): In a controversial decision that drew opposition from finance minister, the Iraqi government decided on June 16 to pay $200 billion dinars ($14 million) monthly to the Kurdish Regional Government (KRG) to finance payments to state workers in the autonomous region. The decision was put to vote at a government meeting and the ministers unanimously approved the funding. According to the government, the payment will be considered since the first day of the first month of this year and will be made to Erbil, meaning that Baghdad has to pay 1.2 trillion dinars as employee salaries to the KRG.
The decision was made as the budget has been a contentious issue between Erbil and Baghdad since 2013. It has triggered massive opposition from various political circles. But what is the reason behind the opposition and why has al-Kadhimi made such a decision in the current conditions?
Ongoing dispute over adherence to agreement on the oil and budget
In analyzing the massive objection to the government decision, it must be taken into account that it has roots in the Kurdish dispute with the central government over budget and oil. Over the past years, Erbil leaders insisted that the central government should provide the employees payment budget. On the opposite side, Baghdad pressed for supervision over the Kurdish oil sales. Both accuse each other of failing to keep commitment.
But in the new conditions, after the world oil price rose to more than $70 a barrel, Erbil has gained a large or maximum part of the budget needed to pay employees, and with 200 billion dinars sent by the central government, now the income of the KRG reaches more than 1 trillion dinars, which is over 100 billion dinars more than the budget needed to pay full salaries to employees. Here is a list of the KRG monthly incomes after new budget is sent to Erbil: 200 billion dinars paid by Baghdad, $450 billion earned from oil sales, 350 billion internal incomes, and 25 billion dinar in aids from the "global coalition." All these sums make a total of 1,025 billion dinars, while the budget needed for the salaries is 894 billion dinars. So, there would be a 130 billion surplus.
Some Iraqi political parties have expressed dissatisfaction with the government plan and even threatened to impeach Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi. For example, Hassan Salem, the head of Fatah coalition in the parliament in a statement said paying 200 billion dinars monthly "ex post facto" is an open violation of the constitution and the 2021 budget law, according to which the two sides should commit to their promises.
"To prevent waste of the public budget, we would take legal actions. The attorney general should prevent this payment to the Kurdish region. The prime minister should be impeached for not committing to the constitution," he was quoted as saying.
Also, Burhanuddin Ishaq, a senior member of the Babilioun Movement, said that the Iraqi cabinet's decision to pay 200 billion dinars a month to the Kurdish region ex post facto from the beginning of this year, without the Erbil government complying with its obligations in the budget law, violates the Iraqi constitution and other ordinary laws.
"The reason for that is lack of political will to pass oil and gas law to regulate the revenues of sales of energy resources," he added.
It seems that the decision will stir further opposition and increase the tension between the Kurds and the central government to new heights.
Al-Kadhimi’s election goals
The future elections, scheduled for October 10, also make a reason for this al-Kadhimi's decision. The fact is that al-Kadhimi is trying to secure Kurdish seats in parliament in the run-up to this election. This means that he can now secure about 60 purely Kurdish parliamentary seats. He is well aware that the vast majority of Kurdish parties will welcome Baghdad sending funds to pay the salaries of region's workers, and that his recent decision could spur Kurdish support for his reelection.
Also, it seems that he intends to coalesce with Muqtada al-Sadr, the head of Saerun coalition, and Masoud Barzani, the head of the Kurdish Democratic Party, to retain his premiership, as the two parties are rumored to have plans for a coalition. Therefore, it can be concluded that the funding plan has election goals and helps an alliance between him and the two political leaders.
CBI Update: Just a note:
including $18,530,000. CASH
The Central Bank of Iraq’s foreign currency sales schedule Thursday 6/24/2021 and implemented today
ISX Update: Shares Traded: not updated for todayValue Traded: not updated for today
The Central Bank of Iraq’s foreign currency sales schedule Thursday 6/24/2021 and implemented today
6-22-2021 Newshound Guru MilitiaMan Article: "AL-KAZEMI’S ADVISOR: THE PROJECT TO DELETE ZEROS FROM THE CURRENCY IS SUBJECT TO TWO CONDITIONS" Quote: "appropriate conditions are achieved, cash payments in Iraq..." Wow...Imo they are achieved. CASH PAYMENTS RETROACTIVE to come imo...
6-22-2021 Intel Guru Holly Tuesday RV News: The hold up on Sunday night was resolved yesterday. There were a lot of meetings yesterday and the rate issue not being released was fixed. I will not put out any timeframe when we expect to see the final release as people get too stuck on a date and then get upset if that date does not happen. Just know all is moving forward and we are on track for this to happen at any moment...
6-22-2021 Intel Guru MarkZ [via PDK] What I am hearing on the RV front is the IMF and UST are having some glitches. We don’t know if they are political, software, financial or what??? They are in the process of squaring this away... My folks are still in place...I think it’s any moment between now and Thursday…At least that is what I am being told. I really hope its accurate...
6-22-2021 Intel Guru Frank26 A powerful article came out on the 20th...the article is flat out telling you, we now have security inside of Iraq and we now have stability in our currency. You're about to see something very soon IMO... On December 20th they approved everything...and exactly 6 months later right on target on the 20th of June they start to tell you everything we told you they were going to tell you and even more...
6-22-2021 Intel Guru Sheila [via Guru MarkZ] ...things look great for this to go at any moment...The CBI is meeting tomorrow with financial leaders and private banks…Chase, Wells Fargo, Citibank, Bank of America… The exchange rate can come back at anytime…they have the “Monetary Reform” well calculated and it’s about to come back… all the postponements were due to Iran interference. …The rate has been a secret but they are about to tell us everything... The CBI says the new rate is a phenomenon…
6-22-2021 Newshound/Intel Guru Mnt Goat I have some “WOW” news for you...Yes, this news is amazing since the financial advisor to the prime minister suggested that they perform the project to delete the zeros. We have not heard any discussions on this project for a very long time. It is about time. They are discussing it as part of the solution to the financial mess they are in...once again they are debating the need to do the project (which will get us the RV and shortly afterwards the RI). What we need is for the finance committee, through the pressure from the prime minister and his financial advisor and economists, to work with the CBI and then later for the CBI to confirm that they are moving ahead. We have not yet gotten this confirmation...
6-22-2021 Newshound Guru Pimpy When they tell you it's being exchanged in country...that doesn't make no sense...I want you to understand something. If the rate change happened in country do you understand what type of black market we'd have going on here? You can go to the United States and buy the currency dirt cheap, run over to the border, give it to a friend who can run it to Iraq, exchange it for the higher exchange rate, take the money, bring it back to you, go back to your country buy more and get rich that way. This is why there is no change of rate in country. It would definitely disable the currency. That doesn't make any sense whatsoever.
6-22-2021 Intel Guru Fleming Third Monday RV Report... Military has confirmed that from 1:01 AM EDT...the FOREX will update. Tomorrow morning will be the shotgun start for Tier 4. If everything goes according to plan, in the wee hours of the morning, Tuesday, June 22, 2021 is our start...
6-22-2021 Intel Guru MarkZ Evening Update: No negative news…A number of my banking contacts are going right to voicemail...I am hoping this is a good sign... [Maybe they signed an NDA?] Yes I am hoping that…or that they are busy exchanging right now. I would like to think this is positive news...a couple of them in Europe...are being asked to stay in position. They are being told this is very close…imminent… [Do you think this is our week] All of my bankings contacts do…and I hope they are correct.
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