Information about the arrival of General Qaani to Iraq to dismantle the knot of the presidency between the two Kurdish parties
Al-Sarraj: The Framework Is Moving Towards The Kurds To Resolve The Presidency Within A Specified Period
Political analyst Adnan Al-Sarraj revealed that there is a movement by the coordination framework towards the two parties, the National Union and the Democratic Party to resolve the issue of choosing the candidate for the post of President of the Republic, pointing out that the period will not be open to presenting a candidate for this position, but rather it was determined in order to end the political blockage and go to choose the prime minister. coming.
Al-Sarraj told Al-Maalouma, "It is expected that bargains will be present in the meetings of the two parties, the Union and the Democratic Party, regarding rapprochement and negotiations over the presidency of the Republic, especially since these understandings did not lead to a result, but rather resulted in an agreement to prepare for the parliamentary elections for Kurdistan."
He added that "the coordinating framework plays a major role in the Kurdish negotiations regarding choosing a candidate for the position of President of the Republic, and pushes the Union to rapprochement with the Democratic Party to choose the candidate who is presented to Parliament for a vote, and also that the framework suggested to the Kurds that there be an agreement that each party presents an offer." His candidate to vote, as happened in 2018, and leaves it to the deputies to elect the candidate for the presidency.”
And he indicated that "the Kurdish reality does not refer to an agreement on the President of the Republic, and therefore the patience of the framework will not last long, as information was received that the framework gave the aforementioned parties 15 days to announce their candidate for the presidency of the republic, to be followed by the decision of choosing the next prime minister and presenting it to the political forces to end the blockage." It is expected that the days following the Eid holiday will be more heated and a movement towards resolving the two presidencies.”
There is no financial budget for 2022... and the situation is deteriorating further
Failure to pass the 2022 budget law will push the wheel of growth back and affect job grades
In light of parliamentary expectations that the current year’s budget law will not be passed, it will lead, according to observers, to a deterioration in the economic reality more than it is, especially with regard to allocating job grades and completing service projects
There is no financial budget for the year two and twenty-two, this is what the Parliamentary Finance Committee expected after the end of the first half of this year, and that the ideal work is to start a draft discussion of the next year’s budget, so that economists can talk about all the indicators that show Parliament’s inability to pass the current year’s budget In the presence of a caretaker government
A negative reflection and a deterioration of the economic reality more than it is in the event that what the political circles have spoken regarding the adoption of the budget law is proven. Budgeting.
Information about the arrival of General Qaani to Iraq to dismantle the knot of the presidency between the two Kurdish parties
Well-informed political sources revealed that the commander of the "Quds Force" in the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, General Ismail Qaani, has mediated a new mediation between the two Kurdish parties in the Kurdistan region of Iraq, the Kurdistan Democratic Party and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, with the aim of resolving the dispute between them over the presidency. The Iraqi Republic, whose political custom in the country is that of the Kurdish political forces.
A senior political source in the Kurdistan region of Iraq said that Qaani has been mediating for days to resolve the Kurdish-Kurdish dispute over the presidential candidate, and during the past days he held meetings in the city of Sulaymaniyah with leaders of the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, in addition to meetings in the city of Erbil with leaders of the Kurdistan Democratic Party .
The source indicated that "During his meetings with the Kurdish parties, Qaani was pushing for a compromise candidate between the two parties, to resolve the dispute and with the aim of passing it without any obstacles and disagreements after the end of the Eid al-Adha holiday (on July 17th), with the start of the Iraqi Parliament sessions." .
He added that "until this moment, the two Kurdish parties insist on their candidates for the presidency, namely Reber Ahmed Khaled, the candidate of the Democratic Party, and Barham Salih, the candidate of the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan."
According to the same source, "If the situation remains as it is and each party adheres to its candidate, Qaani will ask the coordinating framework forces to support the PUK candidate, and not to pass the Democratic Party candidate."
The source revealed that "the President of the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, Bafel Talabani, arrived in Baghdad during the past hours, after he held meetings more than once with Qaani, to discuss the results of his meetings with the leaders of the coordination framework.
Nouri al-Maliki is the password that will lead to an explosion or calm situation after the next Eid al-Adha
The negotiations, which began after the withdrawal of the Sadrist bloc from the Iraqi political scene, between the coordination framework and the other political blocs did not achieve any progress to agree on candidates for the presidency and ministers.
The two Kurdish parties, the Kurdistan Democratic Party and the Patriotic Union, are still far from any agreement regarding a single candidate to enter the presidential election session, as differences persist, especially since the Democratic Party refuses to nominate the outgoing president, Barham Salih, for a second term.
The absence of agreement between the coordination framework on the one hand and the Sovereignty Alliance and the "Kurdistan Democratic Party" on the other hand hinders the formation of the government, especially since the framework's approval of some demands of the alliance and the "Kurdistan Democratic Party" may lead to its disintegration.
The Sovereignty Alliance, which is one of the Sunni forces, to participate in the government stipulated the approval of the coordination framework to withdraw the armed factions from the areas liberated from ISIS, the issuance of a general amnesty law, the return of the residents of Jurf district, north of Babylon, and the expulsion of the armed factions from it.
Oil and regions
The Kurdistan Democratic Party also stipulated on the coordination framework the implementation of Article 140 of the Iraqi constitution, regarding the disputed areas in Kirkuk, Nineveh, Diyala and Salah al-Din, freezing the Federal Court’s decision to consider exporting oil from the region illegal, enacting a new oil and gas law, and confirming balance and partnership in managing The state.
The obstructing third , the
director of the "Iraq Center for Strategic Studies", Ghazi Faisal, believes that "the demands of the Kurds and the alliance of sovereignty are among the most important challenges that will face the coordination framework in forming the government," noting that "
Faisal adds that "the leader of the Sadrist movement, Muqtada al-Sadr, will not put obstacles in the matter of forming the government and electing the president of the republic, but he is aware that there are major challenges that will face the formation process at the level of disagreement within the Kurdish house or differences within the coordination framework."
He points out that "the most important of these challenges is the pressures on the coordination framework with the expulsion of armed battalions from the areas and governorates liberated from ISIS, including Jurf al-Sakhr, in addition to the file of the disappeared and the equitable distribution of wealth and other conditions of the alliance of sovereignty," adding that "these challenges will impede the emergence of A government in the short term, and it will continue to accompany the current situation and become increasingly complex.”
Faisal stated, "Al-Sadr is waiting for the government to commit major mistakes that contradict popular demands for change and reform, confronting the political and financial corruption class, and addressing the agricultural situation, pollution, desertification, energy, electricity and security."
And the dispute between the Kurdish forces. Faisal says, "The dispute within the Kurdish house can be resolved by putting forward two names, and the House of Representatives has the option to choose a name from them," pointing out that "the problem is in the Shiite house that is not united as it was in 2006, especially after the Sadrist movement left the political process, He holds the majority of seats in Parliament.
Faisal continues, that "there are Kurdish demands related to the oil and gas law and the disputed areas and the violations that the region is subjected to by bombing with Katyusha missiles and drones," stressing that "these demands are considered existential and must be resolved and a serious program adopted to achieve them."
turn. Essam Al-Faili, professor of political science at Al-Mustansiriya University, says that "the differences between the Kurds, and the disagreement of the Sunnis among them, may hinder the formation of the government during the coming period."
Al-Faili added, "There is a gap between the PYD and the Democratic Party because the former adheres to Barham Salih as President of the Republic, despite the democrat's proposal to have a compromise candidate," adding that "the demands of the Union differ from the Democratic Party, as the latter suffers from the issue of missile bombing and the PUK has no right to it." this is the problem".
He considers that "the president of the National Union, Bafel Talabani, is trying to bring himself to the fore of the political scene and adheres to Barham Salih as a candidate for the union," stressing that "the union's desire to obtain the position of President of the Republic is to prove the existence of it."
Prominent candidates
Al-Faili notes that "there are two forces that adhere to the order of their leaders, the Sadrist movement and the Kurdistan Democratic Party, which gives them a strength that the Sunnis lack due to the geographical diversity to which they belong," adding that "this matter has led to most of the decisions they take are tainted by anxiety."
And the names of candidates for the post of President of the Republic. Al-Faili says that "there are a number of candidates who are strongly proposed, and they are Asaad Al-Eidani, Muhammad Shia Al-Sudani and Qasim Al-Araji," noting that Al-Eidani's chances are strong because he conducted a construction and reconstruction campaign and has approaches with the Kurds, but the framework fears the nomination of a strong figure, so as not to build a bloc Influential politics in the future.”
Al-Faili rules out that “Nuri al-Maliki’s name will be put forward again for the prime ministership, given the presence of several parties who consider it a crisis project, and that his candidacy will accelerate the explosion, especially since the Sadrists have drawn a red line on it.”
Parliamentary Finance: The oil price surplus is not real
oday, Thursday, the Parliamentary Finance Committee confirmed that the oil price surplus is not real.
Committee member Jamal Cougar said in an interview with the official agency’s “Duty of Candor” program, which was followed by (Al-Oula News), that “Iraq depends on oil by more than 94 percent, and this dependence will not feel its impact in the current year due to the lack of a budget that eats away revenues, but the real problem is.” It will be in the year 2023,” noting that “any drop in oil prices will affect Iraq after three months.”
He added that "the amounts of internal and external loans amount to nearly 100 trillion dinars, and the surplus oil prices are not real."
He pointed out that "Iraq is financially secure until next year.
An American report: Muqtada al-Sadr deprived himself of the government's cake, due to a miscalculation of it
The American Research Institute of the Arab Gulf States in Washington addressed the uncalculated political step taken by Sadrist leader Muqtada al-Sadr, which will contribute to strengthening his opponents, considering that the road ahead for Iraq in the next stage will not be easy. Under the title, "Ambiguous ambitions: Al-Sadr's exit from the Iraqi parliament strengthens the opponents." coordinating framework.
With the price of a barrel of oil hovering around the price of $100 a barrel, the American report stated, “The coordination framework, if he is able to form the next government, a possibility that seems more likely with al-Sadr’s withdrawal from the political process, will have greater financial resources by benefiting from financial resources.” the state to satisfy a larger number of disgruntled people. The report added, "This matter will give the coordination framework more power and influence over state institutions and in controlling popular protests, while the matter will end with Sadr unable to take advantage of the government's cake and distribute its gains to loyalists." And after the American report indicated that former Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki was seeking to win a third term, he pointed out that "
In the event of the formation of the government, the American report suggested that it “reflect the ethnic and sectarian characteristics of past governments, as well as the deep partisan characteristics, which will negatively affect governance and increase the risks of promoting corruption.” The report warned that this corruption, coupled with the possible drop in oil prices, could cause the deterioration of government services and the living conditions of Iraqis. As for Al-Sadr, the options before him and his ability to maneuver will be limited, and if he does not make sound and well-defined calculations, they It could lead to exacerbating divisions and strengthening instability, according to the report.The report concluded that what is certain is that “if al-Sadr remains outside politics, the Sadrist movement will be deprived of the financial benefits of the state, which will weaken its popular social programs in poor neighborhoods. Which constitutes the majority of Sadr's supporters," noting that "Sadr's popular base will be more weak in the upcoming elections.
Bafel Talabani is counting on the presidency of the republic and the federal government to establish stability
The President of the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, Bafel Talabani, stressed on Thursday that the presidency and the federal government can play an "important role" in establishing peace and stability and serving the Iraqi citizen.
In a statement received by Shafaq News Agency, Talabani's media office said that the latter received at the home of former President Jalal Talabani in Baghdad, President Barham Salih and Head of the Federal Government, Mustafa Al-Kazemi, and discussed with them the political, economic and security situation in Iraq.
Talabani stressed, according to the statement, the continuation of "the wise policy of the late Iraqi President Jalal Talabani," noting that the Presidency of the Republic and the government can play an "important and influential role" in building peace and stability in Iraq, hoping that dialogue and understanding will be made a basis for action and that all efforts will be poured into In the service of a better future for the citizen.
Talabani pointed to the importance of "valuing the efforts" in order to bring together the forces and political parties and give priority to the language of dialogue and understanding.
He added that as part of the continuation of the discussions, the government's role to improve the lives and lives of citizens and provide more services was discussed, pointing out that the attendees described the continuation of efforts to make the reform process a success and confront corruption as "important."
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